Text Products for FWS Issued by MHX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
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FNUS72 KMHX 101020
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Hwy 12 Fire...North Carolina Forest Service
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
620 AM EDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on April 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated light showers or sprinkles possible this morning.
Widespread showers and isolated thunderstorms expected Thursday
and Thursday night. Gusty southerly winds will develop Thursday
ahead of the cold front.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy this morning, becoming partly
cloudy late.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5 to 10 mph early, increasing to 10 to 15
mph with gusts up to 20 mph late this morning and
this afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 27599 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 26.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.09 to 30.16 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  76  73  71  68  62  59  57  52  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  64  67  69  71  72  73  74  73  71
RH..............93  84  78  73  68  66  64  62  64  68
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   8   9   10  11  11  11  10
20 FT wind gust.5           14  14  18  18  18  18  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  13  15  16  17  17  18  17
LVORI...........6   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3
ADI.............6   7   8   10  17  22  26  24  26  23
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   5   6   10  15  20  26  26  28  26
Sfc pres (in)...013 014 015 016 015 013 011 011 010 009

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 6784 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Min 9.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.02 to 30.08 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  49  49  49  50  51  55  64  68  70  73  75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............69  67  65  64  64  63  63  63  63  63  63  64
RH..............73  78  84  87  87  90  90  90  93  93  93  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   7   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.14  14              9   14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  15  14  15  14  15  16  17  17  17  17  17
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
ADI.............20  13  9   10  9   13  14  15  15  15  15  15
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.19  12  7   8   7   8   9   10  11  11  11  10
Sfc pres (in)...008 007 006 006 007 007 007 007 007 005 004 002

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of showers early in the
                    morning. Showers likely late in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25
                    mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 25 mph increasing to 28 to 32 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 48299 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 54.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.86 to 30.01 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........76     81     90     94     96     98
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............64     65     68     70     70     70
RH..............93     93     81     76     78     78
20 ft wind......S 9    S 11   S 15   S 17   S 19   S 20
20 ft wind gust.14     14     23     23     27     27
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1000   1200   1400   1500   1500
Transport wind..S 18   S 22   S 25   S 28   S 29   S 31
LVORI...........5      4      3      3      3      3
ADI.............16     28     39     48     49     52
Haines index....4      3      3      3      3      3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.14     22     31     38     43     47
Sfc pres (in)...30.01  29.99  29.99  29.97  29.92  29.88

$$
Forecaster...Dail
Requested by...Adam Brooks
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2410035.1/MHX
.DELDT 04/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL adam.brooks@ncagr.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
