612
FNUS72 KMLB 242126
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for MIR 1s...USFWS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
526 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Fog is not forecast as the axis of high pressure extending from
the western Atlantic over central Florida continues very dry
conditions. Easterly winds 5-10 mph from the sea breeze diminish
to around 5 mph after 8 PM, then shift to west-southwesterly
overnight, becoming light and variable at times through late
Thursday morning. The sea breeze is forecast to develop at or a
little before noon Thursday, shifting winds back to easterly at
5-10 mph through the evening. Min RHs around 45 pct. Smoke
dispersion Generally to Very Good. Afternoon high temperature and
peak heat index in the L80s.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
southwest around 5 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early
in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast around mph shifting to the south
around 5 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............Increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   3   3   4   5   5   4   3   2   3   4   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  74  70  69  67  66  65  64  63  62  61  61
RH..............48  50  59  63  70  75  78  81  84  87  90  90
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  12  12  10  9   9   8   7   6   5
Dispersion idx..38  32  7   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   3   3
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the east
around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the around
10 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 37.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      6      3      2      4      2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............60     62     74     79     80     79
RH..............93     90     59     50     49     52
20 ft wind......SW 3   SW 3   S 3    SE 6   E 10   E 10
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    2300   3800   3200   2700
Transport wind..SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   S 6    E 10   E 12
Dispersion idx..2      3      13     28     38     38
LVORI...........7      6      2      2      1      1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........2         5         6         13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............77        72        69        66
RH..............58        71        78        84
20 FT wind......E 10      E 8       SE 7      SE 6
Mix hgt (ft)....1900      600       600       500
Transport wind..E 12      E 12      SE 10     SE 7
Dispersion idx..31        7         5         4
LVORI...........1         3         4         5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph increasing to 10-15 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 5-10 mph increasing to 10-15 mph late in
the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 49.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........23           27           21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            0
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............64           75           79
RH..............90           66           58
20 FT wind......SE 6         E 8          E 12G16
Mix hgt (ft)....500          2900         4500
Transport wind..SE 6         E 9          E 12
Dispersion idx..3            33           46
LVORI...........6            3            1

$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...Greg Suszek
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411732.4/MLB
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL greg_suszek@fws.gov