Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 210943
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for RKS027...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
543 AM EDT Thu Mar 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on March 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions continue today as high pressure over Florida shifts
eastward. Light northerly winds veer to the southeast at 5-10 mph
in the early afternoon, shifting back to easterly around 10 mph
in the late afternoon with the sea breeze, then settling overnight
to southeasterly 5-10 mph. Afternoon high and peak heat index in
the low 80s.

No rain chances today, but rain chances increase late
tonight, to 60 pct by Friday morning with a slight chance of
lightning storms in the afternoon. Breezy and gusty conditions
Friday.

Min RH 35-40 pct. Smoke dispersion Good to Very good.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in
the afternoon, shifting back to the east around
10 mph in the late afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1000 ft AGL increasing to 5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast 5
                    to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 59.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  13  11  11  11  13  13  14  19  28  33  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  50  50  56  62  70  74  77  79  81  81  81
RH..............74  74  77  64  56  44  43  42  41  38  38  39
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.9 3.5 4.6 5.5 6.0 5.9 5.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8
Dispersion idx..3   3   3   3   8   15  28  39  47  51  54  59
LVORI...........3   3   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers overnight. Showers likely early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 12.
LVORI...............Increasing to 4 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........40     41     43     63     79     88
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............79     71     69     67     67     66
RH..............42     59     68     75     75     81
20 ft wind......E 9    E 9    E 8    SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   800    900    700    700    600
Transport wind..SE 10  E 14   SE 14  SE 14  SE 13  SE 13
Dispersion idx..47     12     13     10     9      9
LVORI...........1      2      3      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely early
                    in the morning, then showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0800, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds increasing to 15 to 20 mph late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 2800 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to 20 to 25
mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 50.
LVORI...............Decreasing to 3 late in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........93        93        94        92
Weather cov.....LIKELY    DEFNTE    DEFNTE    DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........          S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60        90        90        90
LAL.............1         2         2         2
Temp............65        64        70        72
RH..............87        93        78        76
20 FT wind......SE 8      SE 12G16  SE 15G21  SE 18G25
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1400      2700      2700
Transport wind..SE 14     SE 18     SE 22     S 22
Dispersion idx..12        29        49        48
LVORI...........5         4         3         3

$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...Benjamin Bandor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2407950.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ben.bandor@floridadep.gov


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