864
FNUS73 KMPX 011124
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Cabinrock WMA Rx burn...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
624 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For the Cabinrock WMA Rx Burn, partly to mostly
cloudy skies are expected today with temperatures in the low 60s.
Winds will start out on the breezy side from the west before
diminishing by early afternoon and becoming northwesterly to light
and variable by the evening. RH values will fall to around 35%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 63.
RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 16 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 8 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good /55800 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /84500 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 18 to 25 mph shifting to the northwest 13
                    to 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50  53  55  58  60  61  62  62  61  60  58  56
RH..............74  64  59  51  46  42  41  41  44  47  55  59
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..16  16  16  15  14  12  10  8   2   1   5   6
20 FT wind gust.24  25  24  24  22  18  17  14  10  8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.2 3.8 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.3 3.8 2.6 1.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   N   NE  SE
Transp wind spd.24  25  24  23  21  18  14  13  9   6   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    after 3 am.
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
                    12 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning, then rain showers likely
                    in the morning and early afternoon. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 52.
RH..................Min 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (44000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 17 mph shifting to the east 17
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Area Wildlife Supervisor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412862.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cory.netland@state.mn.us