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000
FNUS73 KMPX 231211
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Harry Cater SNA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
711 AM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...A few scattered showers will be possible later this
morning with increasing clouds through the remainder of the day.
Winds will be on the breezy side again today out of the west
around 15-20 MPH with gusts of 25-30 MPH. Winds will shift to the
northwest and eventually north through this afternoon. RH values
will be in the upper 40s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning.
Temperature.........47 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................63 percent at ignition...Min 48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 15 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northwest winds 14 to 17 mph shifting to the
                    north around 16 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /18100 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /109500 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (97800 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 26 mph shifting to the north
                    around 28 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............47  48  50  52  54  56  57  57  56  56  54  53
RH..............63  68  66  63  57  53  51  51  51  49  48  48
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..15  14  14  14  14  15  16  17  16  16  15  14
20 FT wind gust.22  21  21  22  24  24  25  26  25  26  25  22
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 2.3 3.4 3.8 4.6 5.2 5.5 5.3 4.7 4.1 4.0 3.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.18  22  23  23  23  24  26  26  28  28  25  22
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost overnight.
                    Widespread frost after 3 am.
Temperature.........Min 31.
RH..................Max 78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 6 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (87500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3100 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph becoming northeast 8 to 14
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    east 7 to 8 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost early
                    in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (39800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph increasing to around 9 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Dominic Ruis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411931.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dominic.ruis@state.mn.us