156
FNUS71 KOKX 302347
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Sarnoff West Block N NW RX...NYS DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
747 PM EDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
An light northeast flow will become more east and remain under 10 kt
through Wednesday. Min RH values will be between 50 and 70 percent.
The chances of showers diminish quickly Wednesday morning. No wetting
rain is expected from late morning on Wednesday through Wednesday
night.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in the
                    morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................83 percent at ignition...Min 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph
                    shifting to the east late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /5400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /20200 knot-ft/.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........87  85  83  81  79  76  72  67  62
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............54  56  59  61  62  64  64  64  63
RH..............83  80  77  72  69  67  67  64  67
20 FT wind dir..030 040 050 050 060 070 080 080 090
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.4 3.1 2.5 1.9
Transp wind dir.030 030 030 040 060 070 080 110 120
Transp wind spd.10  9   9   8   7   7   7   7   7
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   9   13  17  19  20  18  14  11
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57  54  52  52  53  53  51  49  48  50  53  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  60  57  55  54  52  51  50  49  48  47  46
RH..............72  77  83  83  83  86  89  89  89  89  93  93
20 FT wind dir..090 100 100 100 100 100 100 090 090 090 100 110
20 FT wind spd..4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.130 130 130 130 110 100 100 090 090 090 100 110
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   8   6   5   3   3   5   6   7   9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  12  11  7   3   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...JE
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412854.0/OKX
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov