Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 172314
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
614 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Clear skies and very dry air will be place tonight in wake of the
recent frontal passage. Wind speeds will, however, remain steady
most of the night somewhat limiting radiational effects. However,
a widespread light freeze is forecast with a hard freeze likely
across far NE OK into far NW AR.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Sunday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

Sfc high slowly passes across the region tomorrow through
tomorrow night with below normal high temperatures and another
likely freeze Monday night. Winds will begin to turn southerly and
increase late Monday night which will again limit ideal
radiational effects. However, western AR into far SE OK will have
areas which record a hard freeze.

Breezy and much warmer conditions on Tuesday with grassland fire
weather conditions a focus as moisture return is slow. Increasing
cloud cover and developing scattered showers expected Wednesday.
Rain chances with isolated storms increase Wednesday night
through Thursday as the weakening upper low tracks across the
Southern Plains.

A brief cool down on Thursday before above normal temperatures
return late in the week through next weekend. Shower and
thunderstorm chances are poised to increase at some point over the
weekend as timing of the next upper wave becomes more certain.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2024

VFR conditions will prevail thru the period with passing mid and
high cloud. North to northwest winds will decrease some after
sunset, then pick back up again by mid-morning on Monday with
gusts to near 20 kts.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   31  53  33  74 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   35  54  31  69 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   35  55  31  71 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   26  52  29  76 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   26  49  27  68 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   28  47  29  67 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   31  52  30  70 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   26  48  29  71 /   0   0   0   0
F10   32  53  32  72 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   37  56  31  66 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...30


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