Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KMAF 282309
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
609 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF issuance
Thunderstorms are possible around KFST the next couple of hours
and may cause some lower visibilities and gusty winds. Otherwise
expect VFR and breezy conditions to last through the night.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 231 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017/

DISCUSSION...
A significant warming trend underway today and tomorrow as 850 mb
temperatures increase over the region. A fairly weak dryline mixing
east through western areas this afternoon may become a focus for a
few thunderstorms through sunset mainly across southeast New Mexico
south through the Davis Mountains. Convection should quickly
diminish after sunset with decreasing instability. Not expecting
widespread severe weather however some storms could be strong,
producing gusty winds, hail and brief heavy rainfall. The dryline
will quickly move east through much of the area Thursday and W/SW
downsloping winds through the afternoon will aid in temperatures
soaring above 100 most locations.

A cold front is still expected to affect portions of the region
Friday and perhaps Saturday as well. Forecast models have backed off
on bringing the front in Friday morning and instead shows the front
attempting a run at far northern zones before stalling then a
second, stronger push late Friday night, likely aided by convection
along the front in the Texas Panhandle. That being said, have made
some adjustments to increase high temperatures Friday and
decrease temperatures across the northern half of the forecast
area Saturday. Confidence in northeast Permian Basin seeing any
precip with the front late Friday is decreasing but will go ahead
and leave mention of the possibility for now. The front is
forecast to lift back north Saturday with the return of southerly
winds at the surface.

Beyond Saturday, the upper pattern becomes somewhat unsettled as
several disturbances move over the region. Best chances will be each
afternoon/evening across the higher terrain region where upslope SE
winds and decent mid level moisture may contribute to thunderstorm
development. High temperatures look to generally be in the 90s mos t
areas Sunday through mid week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     71 102  75 103 /  10   0   0  10
Carlsbad                       68 105  69 102 /  10   0   0  10
Dryden                         72 102  74 101 /  10  10   0   0
Fort Stockton                  72 105  74 105 /  20   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 71  96  71  95 /  10   0   0   0
Hobbs                          66 102  68  99 /  20   0   0  10
Marfa                          60  97  61  97 /  20   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           73 104  74 103 /  20   0   0  10
Odessa                         72 104  74 103 /  20   0   0  10
Wink                           70 105  70 105 /  20   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

29


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.