Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 102330
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2014

.DISCUSSION...
REFER TO THE 00Z AVIATION FORECAST BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THIS TAF PERIOD. ISOLATED STORMS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THROUGH AROUND 00Z...BUT WILL REMAIN EAST OF
TERMINALS. PRONOUNCED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER STORMS HAS
RESULTED IN EASTERLY WIND SHIFT FROM KPNC SWD TO KOKC/KOUN. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL ESSENTIALLY WASH OUT AS SRLY FLOW RESUMES OVERNIGHT.
BREEZY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS TO RESUME AT ALL TERMINALS AROUND 15Z
FRIDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 348 PM CDT THU JUL 10 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION OVER PAYNE/LINCOLN COUNTIES SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE... MUCH DRIER AIR IS LOCATED ACROSS PART OF NORTH TEXAS/SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. NEARCAST MODEL CAPTURED THIS WELL EARLIER
THIS MORNING. WEAK CONVERGENCE AND HEATING MAY ALLOW AN ISOLATED
STORM TO FORM OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BETWEEN 4 AND 7 PM...OTHERWISE
POPS FOR TONIGHT WILL BE AOB 10 PERCENT.

AN UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND TROPICAL MOISTURE IN SOUTH
TEXAS...WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FA. A RIDGE...CENTERED TO OUR
WEST...WILL BUILD EASTWARD FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING A
PERIOD OF VERY HOT AND DRY WEATHER WITH MOST LOCATIONS REACHING
TRIPLE DIGITS.

A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AT LEAST AN INITIAL WIND SHIFT. BETTER
CAA WILL ARRIVE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. RAIN AND STORM CHANCES
WITH THE FRONT WILL BE HIGHEST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND AGAIN
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS A WAVE APPROACHES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  72  94  73  99 /  20   0   0   0
HOBART OK         73  96  73 100 /  10   0   0   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  74  99  74 101 /   0   0   0   0
GAGE OK           70  95  71 100 /  10   0   0   0
PONCA CITY OK     72  96  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
DURANT OK         74  97  75 100 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

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