Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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947
AXUS71 KPHI 141748 RRA
DGTPHI
DEC001-003-005-MDC011-015-029-035-041-
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-037-041-
PAC011-017-025-029-045-077-089-091-095-101-161930-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1245 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...AS DEFINED BY THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR, THE SOUTHERN POCONOS OF
PENNSYLVANIA AND THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF NEW JERSEY ARE
EXPERIENCING ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS...

...THE STATE OF NEW JERSEY HAS ISSUED A DROUGHT WATCH FOR ALL OR
PORTIONS OF 12 COUNTIES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE...

SYNOPSIS...

FOR EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHWEST, CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND...

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

STATE AND LOCAL ACTIONS.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOES NOT DECLARE DROUGHT WATCHES OR
WARNINGS.

A DROUGHT WATCH CONTINUES FOR ALL OR PORTIONS OF 12 NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY COUNTIES. FIVE OF THE COUNTIES ARE LOCATED IN THE NEW YORK
CITY/UPTON SERVICE AREA. SEVEN ARE LOCATED IN THE MOUNT HOLLY
SERVICE AREA INCLUDING HUNTERDON, MERCER, MIDDLESEX, MONMOUTH,
MORRIS, OCEAN, AND SOMERSET.

NO OTHER KNOWN STATE DECLARATIONS HAVE BEEN PUT IN PLACE.

SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS.
SOIL MOISTURE, AS MEASURED BY THE PALMER DROUGHT SEVERITY INDEX,
RANGED FROM +1.62 TO +2.47 IN MARYLAND, +0.94 TO +1.50 IN
PENNSYLVANIA, +1.08 TO +2.42 IN DELAWARE, AND -0.01 TO +1.74 IN NEW
JERSEY.

WHAT DO THE NUMBERS MEAN?

-4.0 OR LESS: EXTREME DROUGHT
-3.0 TO -3.9: SEVERE DROUGHT
-2.0 TO -2.9: MODERATE DROUGHT
-1.9 TO +1.9: NEAR NORMAL
+2.0 TO +2.9: UNUSUAL MOIST SPELL
+3.0 TO +3.9: VERY MOIST
+4.0 AND ABOVE: EXTREMELY MOIST

GROUNDWATER CONDITIONS.
REGIONAL GROUND WATER LEVELS, INCLUDING IN NEW JERSEY, VARIED
WIDELY AND WERE RUNNING MUCH BELOW NORMAL TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL.

RIVER AND STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS.
REGIONAL STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS, INCLUDING NEW JERSEY, WERE RUNNING
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

DELAWARE RIVER SALT LINE.
THE SALT LINE IN THE DELAWARE RIVER ESTUARY WAS ESTIMATED AT RIVER
MILE MARKER 72. THE NORMAL LOCATION FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR IS RIVER
MILE MARKER 69.

RESERVOIRS/WATER SUPPLY.
MOST RESERVOIR POOLS WERE BELOW NORMAL TO NORMAL.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

DURING THE LAST 30 DAYS (ENDING 1/12), MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION
TOTALS WERE MAINLY BETWEEN FOUR AND A HALF AND FIVE AND A HALF
INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA. DEPARTURES WERE
MAINLY BETWEEN 26% TO 75% ABOVE NORMAL.

DURING THE LAST 60 DAYS (ENDING 1/12), MEAN AREAL PRECIPITATION
TOTALS WERE MAINLY BETWEEN SIX AND A HALF AND EIGHT AND A HALF
INCHES ACROSS THE ENTIRE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE AREA. DEPARTURES WERE
MAINLY BETWEEN 25% BELOW NORMAL TO 25% ABOVE NORMAL.

THE FOLLOWING PRECIPITATION STATISTICS (ENDING 1/12) FOR NEW JERSEY,
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE AND MARYLAND ARE COUNTYWIDE AVERAGES.

                    MONTH    LAST          LAST
                       SO    90 DAYS      180 DAYS     LAST 365 DAYS
                      FAR   TOTAL/DEP.   TOTAL/DEP.   TOTAL/DEP./   %


BERKS           PA    1.3    8.9  -2.0   20.6  -2.6   43.4  -2.5   -4
BUCKS           PA    1.3    9.6  -1.8   19.7  -4.6   42.8  -5.3  -10
CARBON          PA    1.7   11.7  -0.6   23.5  -2.1   46.2  -4.5   -8
CHESTER         PA    1.3   10.2  -1.0   20.0  -3.8   45.2  -1.9   -3
DELAWARE        PA    0.9   10.4  -0.3   20.1  -2.8   45.0  -0.7   -1
LEHIGH          PA    1.5   10.5  -0.7   22.4  -1.4   44.5  -2.4   -4
MONROE          PA    1.9   12.0  -0.6   24.0  -2.4   45.8  -5.6  -10
MONTGOMERY      PA    1.1    9.3  -1.8   19.5  -4.2   42.8  -4.0   -8
NORTHAMPTON     PA    1.3    9.8  -1.5   21.3  -2.9   42.0  -5.3  -10
PHILADELPHIA    PA    1.0    9.6  -1.3   19.7  -3.6   44.8  -2.0   -3

BURLINGTON      NJ    1.4    9.7  -1.1   19.1  -3.9   44.6  -1.7   -3
CAMDEN          NJ    1.0    9.0  -1.9   18.4  -4.8   45.8  -0.8   -1
GLOUCESTER      NJ    0.8    9.3  -1.3   19.2  -3.4   49.1   3.6    8
HUNTERDON       NJ    1.6    9.9  -1.8   18.7  -5.9   41.0  -8.1  -15
MERCER          NJ    1.7    9.9  -1.2   19.7  -4.1   41.7  -6.3  -12
SALEM           NJ    0.6    9.8  -0.2   19.1  -2.5   50.7   7.0   16
SUSSEX          NJ    1.2    9.9  -1.4   20.5  -3.5   41.7  -6.0  -12
WARREN          NJ    1.2    9.5  -1.9   19.9  -4.6   43.0  -5.3  -10

ATLANTIC        NJ    0.9   10.8  -0.1   20.1  -2.2   50.6   6.0   13
CAPE MAY        NJ    0.6   10.1  -0.4   20.2  -1.8   46.9   3.3    8
CUMBERLAND      NJ    0.7    9.7  -0.5   19.3  -2.3   51.1   7.7   18
MIDDLESEX       NJ    1.8    9.6  -1.7   18.1  -5.7   39.7  -7.7  -15
MONMOUTH        NJ    1.6    9.6  -1.7   19.2  -4.2   41.3  -5.4  -11
MORRIS          NJ    1.8   11.1  -1.1   20.1  -5.3   41.5  -9.0  -17
OCEAN           NJ    1.3   10.2  -0.8   20.0  -2.8   44.1  -1.4   -2
SOMERSET        NJ    1.9   10.8  -0.6   18.7  -5.5   40.0  -8.1  -16

KENT            DE    0.4    8.8  -1.3   20.3  -1.3   44.9   0.9    2
NEW CASTLE      DE    0.7   10.9   0.8   20.3  -1.3   48.9   4.8   11
SUSSEX          DE    0.4    9.3  -1.3   22.5  -0.1   45.5   0.6    1

CECIL           MD    1.0   11.1   0.5   21.7  -0.7   50.1   5.1   11
CAROLINE        MD    0.3    8.5  -1.6   19.2  -2.1   43.5   0.0    0
KENT            MD    0.6   10.2   0.1   21.4   0.1   49.5   6.0   14
QUEEN ANNES     MD    0.5    8.9  -1.2   21.2   0.0   48.2   4.9   11
TALBOT          MD    0.5    8.6  -1.6   17.8  -3.7   40.8  -3.2   -6

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE THE RULE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY AND THEN MOVE ACROSS OUR
OFFSHORE WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS
OUR AREA SUNDAY, FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE WHICH WILL BUILD IN FOR
MONDAY AND PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION VALUES OVER THE NEXT WEEK ARE FORECAST TO BE ABOUT A
QUARTER INCH ACROSS THE POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY TO ABOUT AN
INCH AND A QUARTER ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS OF NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE. IF THE NOTED LOW PRESSURE TRACKS CLOSER TO THE COAST,
PRECIPITATION VALUES COULD BE HIGHER ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

THE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...

SOIL MOISTURE...NEAR NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL
GROUND WATER...MUCH BELOW NORMAL TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL
STREAMFLOW...NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
DELAWARE RIVER SALT LINE...FURTHER UPSTREAM COMPARED TO NORMAL
RESERVOIRS/WATER SUPPLY...BELOW NORMAL TO NORMAL

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED ON FEBRUARY 12,
2016 OR SOONER, IF NECESSARY, IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/...

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)...HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
NWS WFO MOUNT HOLLY...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/
NWS MARFC...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MARFC
NWS AHPS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/
NIDIS DROUGHT PAGE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
USGS...HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV
USACE...HTTP://WWW.USACE.ARMY.MIL/
NJ DEP...HTTP://NJDROUGHT.ORG/
PA DEP...HTTP://WWW.PORTAL.STATE.PA.US/PORTAL/SERVER.PT/COMMUNITY/
                DROUGHT_INFORMATION
MD DEP...HTTP://MDE.STATE.MD.US/PROGRAMS/WATER/DROUGHTINFORMATION/
                PAGES/WATER/DROUGHT/INDEX.ASPX
DE DNREC...HTTP://DGS.UDEL.EDU/PROJECTS/DROUGHT-CONDITIONS-
                  INDICATORS-DELAWARE

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING NOAA`S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER, THE
USDA, STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL
DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS
BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES, STATE
COOPERATIVE EXTENSION SERVICES, THE USDA, USACE AND USGS.

TO HELP CONSERVE WATER, HERE ARE A FEW WATER CONSERVATION TIPS
FROM THE STATE OF NEW JERSEY:

1. DO NOT OVER-WATER LAWNS AND LANDSCAPING. TWO TIMES PER WEEK FOR
30 MINUTES IN THE MORNING OR LATE EVENING TYPICALLY IS SUFFICIENT.
USE A HOSE WITH A HAND-HELD NOZZLE TO WATER FLOWERS AND SHRUBS.
2. AVOID WATERING LAWNS AND PLANTS DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY, AS
THIS PROMOTES EVAPORATION AND WATER WASTE.
3. USE A BROOM TO SWEEP THE SIDEWALK, RATHER THAN A HOSE.
4. TO SAVE WATER AT HOME, FIX LEAKY FAUCETS AND PIPES.
5. TURN OFF THE FAUCET WHILE BRUSHING TEETH AND SHAVING.
6. RUN WASHING MACHINES AND DISHWASHERS ONLY WHEN FULL.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
732 WOODLANE ROAD
MOUNT HOLLY, NEW JERSEY 08060
PHONE...609-261-6615
WFOPHI.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

KRUZDLO



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