Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
740 AM MDT THU OCT 16 2014

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-181345-
740 AM MDT THU OCT 16 2014

...FALL STORMS BRING MORE RELIEF IN THE DROUGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO...

SYNOPSIS...

WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF
OVER 3 INCHES...HAS BEEN RECORDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE DROUGHT STRICKEN
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO PLAINS THROUGH OUT THE FIRST 2 WEEKS OF OCTOBER.
THIS...ALONG WITH ABUNDANT SUMMER PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SOUTHWEST MONSOON...HAS ALLOWED FOR ADDITIONAL IMPROVEMENTS IN THE
MULTI-YEAR DROUGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO.

WITH THIS IN MIND...THE LATEST US DROUGHT MONITOR HAS ELIMINATED
THE EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) CONDTIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

THE CURRENT DROUGHT MONITOR NOW INDICATES SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS
IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN CROWLEY AND EASTERN OTERO COUNTIES...AS WELL
AS ALL OF KIOWA...BENT AND PROWERS COUNTITES. SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS
REMAIN DEPICTED ACROSS THE REST OF EASTERN 2/3RDS OF LAS ANIMAS COUNTY
AND ALL OF BACA COUNTY.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS ARE NOW DEPICTED ACROSS WESTERN LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...AND THE REST OF OTERO
AND CROWLEY COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS ARE ALSO DEPICTED
ACROSS SOUTHERN SAGUACHE COUNTY...EASTERN MINERAL COUNTY...RIO GRANDE
COUNTY...CONEJOS COUNTY...MOST OF ALAMOSA COUNTY AND WESTERN COSTILLA
COUNTY.

ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS ARE NOW INDICATED EXTREME WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...MOST OF HUERFANO COUNTY...CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY
AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY. ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS
ARE ALSO DEPICTED ACROSS CENTRAL SAGUACHE COUNTY...MOST OF THE REST
OF MINERAL COUNTY...AS WELL AS EASTERN ALAMOSA COUNTY AND THE REST
OF COSTILLA COUNTY.

DROUGHT FREE CONDITIONS ARE DEPICTED ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THIS INCLUDES THE REST OF EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...SAGUACHE AND MINERAL COUNTIES...AS
WELL AS ALL OF LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...TELLER AND CUSTER
COUNTIES.

MORE INFORMATION ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATION SCHEME CAN
BE FOUND AT:

WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ABOUTUS/CLASSIFICATIONSCHEME.ASPX

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

DESPITE ABUNDANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW MONTHS...FIRE DANGER WILL
BE ON THE INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW MONTHS...AS TREES
AND GRASSES START TO CURE THROUGH THE FALL SEASON.

THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FIRE BANS AND RESTRICTIONS CAN BE FOUND
AT:

WWW.COEMERGENCY.COM/P/FIRE-BANS-DANGER.HTML

AGRICULTURAL...

CPC AND VIC SOIL MOISTURE CALCULATIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE NEAR
NORMAL CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...WITH SOME SLIGHT DRYING BEING INDICATED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

THE LATEST USDA COLORADO CROP REPORT SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN SOIL
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE...WITH 9 PERCENT OF TOP SOIL RATED AT
VERY SHORT...32 PERCENT RATED AS SHORT...55 PERCENT RATED AS ADEQUATE
AND 4 PERCENT RATED IN SURPLUS CONDITIONS. SUB SOIL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE STATE THIS WEEK SHOWS A SIMILAR TREND WITH 17 PERCENT RATED AS
VERY SHORT...31 PERCENT RATED AS SHORT...51 PERCENT RATED AS ADEQUATE
AND 1 PERCENT IN SURPLUS CONDITIONS. SOIL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE
REMAIN IN MUCH BETTER SHAPE AS COMPARED TO LAST YEAR AT THIS
TIME...THOUGH LAST YEARS ACTUAL DATA IS NOT AVAILABLE DUE TO THE
GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN.

PASTURE AND RANGELAND ACROSS THE STATE ALSO REMAIN IN BETTER SHAPE...WITH
73 PERCENT RATED AT FAIR TO EXCELLENT OVER THIS PAST WEEK...AS COMPARED
TO THE 5 YEAR AVERAGE OF 60 PERCENT RATED FAIR TO EXCELLENT.

HYDROLOGIC...

THE ABUNDANT PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUMMER MONSOON OVER
THE PAST FEW MONTHS CONTINUES TO BE BENEFICIAL TO BOTH WATER USERS
AND PROVIDERS ACROSS THE AREA.

STREAMFLOW ACROSS THE AREA AT THE END OF SEPTEMBER REMAINED GENERALLY
AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH SOUTHWEST
PORTIONS OF AREA SEEING WELL ABOVE NORMAL STREAMFLOW DUE TO THE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST MONTH.

RESERVOIR STORAGE AT THE END OF SEPTEMBER SAW LEVELS INCREASE SLIGHTLY
IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN TO 84 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...WHICH IS 134
PERCENT OF THE AVAILABLE STORAGE AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR. STORAGE
LEVELS IN THE UPPER RIO GRANDE BASIN AT THE END OF SEPTEMBER DECREASED
SLIGHTLY TO 61 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...WHICH IS STILL 134 PERCENT
OF THE AVAILABLE STORAGE AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER WAS
58.7 DEGREES. THIS IS 3.7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND MAKES SEPTEMBER
OF 2014 THE SECOND WARMEST SEPTEMBER ON RECORD. ALAMOSA RECEIVED 0.41
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER...WHICH IS
0.50 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER
WAS 63.9 DEGREES. THIS IS 3.0 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND MAKES SEPTEMBER
OF 2014...TIED WITH SEPTEMBER OF 1953...AS THE 15TH WARMEST SEPTEMBER
ON RECORD. COLORADO SPRINGS RECEIVED 0.61 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER...WHICH IS 0.58 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO FOR THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER WAS
67.3 DEGREES...WHICH IS 2.7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PUEBLO RECEIVED
0.62 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER...WHICH
IS 0.15 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

HERE ARE A FEW OTHER STATISTICS FOR SELECT SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO LOCATIONS...INDICATING OBSERVED PRECIPITATION TOTALS AND
DEPARTURE FROM NORMALS:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS AIRPORT    0.41/-0.50  2.46/-0.69  3.77/-1.04   6.62/-0.69
COS AIRPORT    0.61/-0.58  7.58/+0.21 12.35/-0.97  14.42/-2.12
PUB AIRPORT    0.62/-0.15  5.16/+0.01  8.73/-0.69  10.83/-1.74

EADS           1.14/+0.12 11.98/+6.00 15.37/+3.46  17.05/+1.37
LAMAR          0.97/-0.28  9.46/+3.04 13.29/+1.18  15.87/+0.67
WALSH 1W       2.10/+0.63  6.22/-1.71 11.76/-2.64  14.10/-5.06
CAMPO 7S       3.74/+2.36  8.56/+1.51 11.82/-1.12  12.56/-4.40
ORDWAY 21N     0.41/-0.54  3.80/-1.77  6.04/-3.82   7.49/-5.06
LAS ANIMAS     0.50/-0.66  4.94/-0.15  8.29/-1.85  10.17/-3.56
KIM 15NNE      1.68/+0.38  9.91/+3.40 13.08/+1.04  15.49/-1.35
FLORISSANT FB  1.82/+0.49  9.79/+2.22 14.00/+1.33  17.20/+0.32
CANON CITY     0.34/-0.69  3.46/-1.77  8.06/-2.23  10.71/-2.76
RYE 1SW        1.93/+0.14 12.99/+4.86 19.19/+3.03  27.84/+2.73
WESTCLIFFE     1.28/+0.39  7.36/+1.73 12.13/+2.53  16.84/+2.29
WALSENBURG 1NW 0.23/-0.70  9.40/+4.12 13.39/+2.57  18.16/+0.12
TRINIDAD       1.92/+0.59  5.25/-1.44 10.50/-0.90  12.81/-3.50
CRESTONE 2SE   1.22/-0.10  7.32/+1.52 10.51/+1.57  15.63/+2.37
DEL NORTE 2E   0.74/-0.44  3.61/-1.01  4.87/-2.16   7.61/-2.95
BUENA VISTA 2S 1.41/+0.41  4.32/-0.25  5.91/-1.61   8.84/-1.75
CLIMAX         3.07/+1.36  8.36/+1.72 14.37/+2.00  28.77/+4.79

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS (CPC) OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVER THE NEXT WEEK INDICATE BETTER CHANCES
OF WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW
OR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. WITH A WEAK EL NINO EXPECTED TO EMERGE
THROUGH THE LATE FALL INTO THE EARLY WINTER SEASON...THE OUTLOOK FOR
REST OF OCTOBER...NOVEMBER AND DECEMBER INCLUDE EQUAL CHANCES OF
ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE AREA...SAVE A SLIGHT TILT TOWARD COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN COLORADO.

WITH THIS IN MIND...THE CPC SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH
DECEMBER 31ST INDICATES DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAINING THOUGH SHOWING
SOME IMPROVEMENT ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY FRIDAY NOVEMBER 7TH 2014...OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO PRECIPITATION AND DROUGHT
MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUB/?N=NEW_LOCAL_DROUGHT_PAGE.PHP

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING
NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER
CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
3 EATON WAY
PUEBLO CO 81007
PHONE: 719-948-9429
W-PUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$


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