Extended Streamflow Guidance
Issued by NWS

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FGUS63 KMSR 221250
ESGDEV

DEVILS LAKE BASIN
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
748 AM CDT THU SEP 22 2016



IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0918 Z DH12 /DC1609221248/DRD+6/DVD12/HGVFZXT/HGVFZX9/HGVFZXH
.B1 /HGVFZX5/HGVFZXG/HGVFZX1/HGVFZXF
:
:       Chance of Exceeding Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:             Valid  Period: 09/18/2016 - 11/30/2016
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8    1450.2/ 1450.2/ 1450.2/ 1450.2/ 1450.3/ 1450.7/ 1451.0
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8    1450.2/ 1450.2/ 1450.2/ 1450.2/ 1450.3/ 1450.7/ 1451.0
.END


IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0918 Z DH12 /DC1609221248/DRD+6/DVD73/HGVFZNT/HGVFZN9/HGVFZNH
.B1 /HGVFZN5/HGVFZNG/HGVFZN1/HGVFZNF
:
:       Chance of Falling Below Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 09/18/2016 - 11/30/2016
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8    1450.1/ 1450.1/ 1450.1/ 1450.0/ 1449.9/ 1449.9/ 1449.9
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8    1450.1/ 1450.1/ 1450.1/ 1450.0/ 1449.9/ 1449.9/ 1449.9
.END


:Long-range probabilistic outlooks are issued near the end of
:the month throughout the year.

$$




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