Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 282033
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
433 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE MIDWEST WILL SPREAD
SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW YORK STARTING TONIGHT.
THE LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE
DRIFTING INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO SUNDAY. AS A RESULT, EXPECT MILD BUT
UNSETTLED WEATHER TO PERSIST THROUGH THE BALANCE OF THE WEEK AND THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010-011-290900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
433 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                              TONIGHT          THU    THU NIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           60           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       53           63           53           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E 11                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  9         E 14         E 10         E 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.44         0.08         0.18
PRECIP DURATION                     2            8            2            8
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING         7 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         1 AM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               94           72           91           60
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         2210          180         2540
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 13         E 22         E 13         E 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        48620         2340        38100
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           49            2           38
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-290900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
433 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                              TONIGHT          THU    THU NIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           90           80           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       52           62           52           63
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E 10                      E  9
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  8         E 12         E  9         E 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.23         0.71         0.17         0.23
PRECIP DURATION                     5           12            4            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           73           98           63
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         2550          190         2680
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 12         E 20         E 13         E 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        51000         2470        40200
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           51            2           40
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-290900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
433 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                              TONIGHT          THU    THU NIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           50           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       53           64           53           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  9                      E  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  8         E 10         E  7         E  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.38         0.05         0.13
PRECIP DURATION                     2            6            2            5
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING         7 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        10 PM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           63           95           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         2830           90         2650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 10         E 16         E 11         E 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        45280          990        29150
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           45            1           29
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-290900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
433 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                              TONIGHT          THU    THU NIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       49           68           49           67
AM WIND (MPH)                                 E  7                      E  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  7         E  8         E  6         E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                                            2
PRECIP BEGIN                                                            8 AM
PRECIP END                                                        CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)              100           45           90           38
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                 0         4220           20         3150
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 13         E 13         E 12         E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        54860          240        31500
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           55            0           32
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


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