Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 241902
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
302 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHWEST WIND WILL GUST AS HIGH AS 30 MPH ON MEMORIAL
DAY AS TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE LOW 80S. HOWEVER...DEWPOINTS
INCREASING INTO THE 60S WILL LIMIT AFTERNOON RH VALUES TO AROUND 55
PERCENT. RH WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE WEEK ALTHOUGH LIGHTER
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO PREVAIL FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-242115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
302 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 PM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 7 PM. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7820-8320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM UNTIL 7 PM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 45 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3100).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-242115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
302 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 7 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 7 PM.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9350-9850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM UNTIL 7 PM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7280-7780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 40 TO
                    45 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3060).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO 20 TO
                    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-242115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
302 PM EDT SUN MAY 24 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8030-8530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1430).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 11 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MEMORIAL DAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM UNTIL 7 PM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7970-8470 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 45 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3640).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.SATURDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

JVC



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