Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 231952
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
352 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE MINIMAL THROUGH FRIDAY AS
COOL FALL TEMPERATURES PERSIST AND WINDS REMAIN LIGHT. RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE MINIMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH WARMER AIR IN THE LOW
TO MID 60S WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 20 MPH ON SATURDAY.
AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT AT 45 PERCENT OR HIGHER EACH DAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
352 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1910-2410 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (13610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2720-3220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (31620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-232115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
352 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2020-2520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (11500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2490-2990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (29930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
352 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2320-2820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (15720).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2550-3050 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (33540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (80).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

$$

JVC



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