Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 240736
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
336 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

...Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms Today...

.DISCUSSION...Most areas will see at least a little rainfall today
but the locally heavy rainfall (over a half inch) from thunderstorms
will be very limited. The best time for thunderstorms will be late
morning into mid afternoon. A deepening surface low will track toward
Northwest Ohio for Thursday and that will bring an area of
steady rain into the I-69 area tonight.


MIZ037>039-043>045-242015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
336 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8400-8900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.23 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1600-2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3700-4200 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1500-2000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........65-70 percent near Lake Michigan and 56-61
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-242015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
336 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........61 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6900-7400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2300, then rain showers likely until
                    0500, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.19 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-242015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
336 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7500-8000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    8600-9100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.36 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. rain showers likely
                    until 0200, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 3600-4100 ft AGL decreasing
                    to 1200-1700 ft AGL overnight.
Mixing height....... inland, 4600-5100 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1400-1900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.33 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-242015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
336 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL increasing to 7900-8400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.27 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. rain showers likely
                    until 0500, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.37 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-242015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
336 AM EDT Wed May 24 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1000, then rain showers. chance
                    of thunderstorms after 1100.
Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8600-9100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.20-0.37 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2300. rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.38 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. South winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to 8 mph
overnight.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms until midday.
Highs in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the west
7 to 12 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the
lower 50s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s.


$$

wdm


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