Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 130746
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
346 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

...COOLER THROUGH MID WEEK...

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BRING AN END
TO THE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY FOR THE AREA. MILD AIR
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR THE DAY TODAY. DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN TO
FILTER IN. ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN DURING THE DAY ON
MONDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE SE
PORTION OF THE STATE AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE RIDES ALONG THE
FRONT. BEHIND THE MONDAY FRONT...MUCH COOLER AND A FEW SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY.



MIZ037>039-043>045-132030-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
346 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6900-7400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1000-1500
                    FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8400-8900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800-1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-132030-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
346 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000-8500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2300 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-132030-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
346 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5400-5900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES UNTIL 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    8400-8900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800-1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-132030-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
346 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1800 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES UNTIL 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400-8900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-132030-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
346 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-7500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES UNTIL 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700-9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...2200-2500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
8 TO 13 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.



$$






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