Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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648
FNUS53 KGRR 241848
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
248 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...Wet Weather Ahead Starting Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...A series of large Pacific storms will bring
this area a prolonged period of showers and thunderstorms. The
weekend into early next week is when we expect most of the rainfall.
However, between now and Wednesday evening expect dry weather, low
afternoon humidity but with more cloud cover. Winds will mostly be
from the south around 5 to 15 mph.


MIZ037>039-043>045-250830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
248 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1100-1600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3900-4400 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1600-2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to
                    600-1100 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    3800-4300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.13 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-250830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
248 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0600, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to south
                    around 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) increasing to 1500 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-250830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
248 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 700-1200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    3800-4300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-250830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
248 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) increasing to 1500 (excellent)
                    in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-250830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
248 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.Tonight...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 0600, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 7 to 12 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Colder. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. West
winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
60s. Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
evening, then showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms
overnight. Lows in the mid 40s.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms
in the evening, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight. Lows in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s.



$$



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