Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 241929
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
329 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

...Cool with a few showers...

.DISCUSSION...
The area is looking at a an early fall-like pattern with cool
conditions by late June standards along with spotty shower activity.
This pattern will persist at least through Monday before we dry out
some and warm up a little.

Later this week, warmer air will return to the area. With the
arrival of the warmer air, a potentially wet period could take shape
with occasional rounds of showers and storms.

MIZ037>039-043>045-250815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
329 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2200. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 2400-2900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.11 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.23 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-250815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
329 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0700, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2200. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL decreasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400, then rain showers likely
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.32 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-250815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
329 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2100.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL decreasing to 2800-3300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) decreasing to 600 (excellent)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1100. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1800-1900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-250815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
329 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2100.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 1600-2100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2300, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.28 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-250815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
329 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 2300.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL decreasing to 1400-1900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 26
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1700-1800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the upper 70s. South winds 9 to 14 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 9 to
14 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s.

$$


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