Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 271900
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Increasingly hot temperatures are expected over the next few
days as high pressure over Florida moves slowly eastward.
By Tuesday the high should be far enough away to allow a weak cold
front to stall across the Carolinas. This front will linger
through Friday, enhancing the potential of scattered
thunderstorms.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-281100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
300 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           40           40
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            3            3
Min/Max Temp          69           92           70           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8 G26    W  5         SW  7        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  7        W  5         SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.07         0.04
Precip duration                    0            2            1
Inversion             2000         77/0900      2000         77/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        87           47           96           47
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6520                      5960
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     W 13
Ventilation rate                   65200                     77480
ADI early             39 Fair      24 Fair      53 Gen good  43 Gen good
ADI late              4 Very poor  42 Gen good  4 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       4            5            3            7
Max LVORI late        5            2            6            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-281100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           30           40           40
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   2            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          69           91           70           92
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6 G20    W  3         SW  6        W  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  3        SW  5        W  4         W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.09         0.07
Precip duration       1            1            2            1
Inversion             2000         76/0900      2000         77/1000
Dispersion            Poor                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        89           47           99           46
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6360                      5840
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     W 15
Ventilation rate                   95400                     87600
ADI early             43 Gen good  11 poor      80 Good      45 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  69 Good      3 Very poor  75 Good
Max LVORI early       3            6            3            9
Max LVORI late        6            2            7            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-281100-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
300 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          MClear       MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           20           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            2            2            3
Min/Max Temp          70           91           71           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  8 G25    W  6         SW  7        W  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  5        SW  8        W  5         SW  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.03         0.02
Precip duration                    0            1            1
Inversion             2000         77/0900      2000         79/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        83           49           96           46
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6230                      5770
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 16                     W 14
Ventilation rate                   99680                     80780
ADI early             41 Gen good  36 Fair      70 Good      46 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  56 Gen good  3 Very poor  56 Gen good
Max LVORI early       3            5            3            7
Max LVORI late        4            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-281100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
300 PM EDT Sat May 27 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Memorial Day

Cloud amount          PCldy        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            30           30           30
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            3            3            3
Min/Max Temp          69           92           70           93
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  7 G20    W  5         SW  7        SW  6
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  4        SW  8        W  4         W  8
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.04         0.04
Precip duration                    1            1            1
Inversion             2000         76/0900      2000         78/1000
Dispersion            Fair                      Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        84           47           97           44
DSI                                3                         3
Haines Index          4            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6460                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 20                     W 15
Ventilation rate                   129200                    85500
ADI early             44 Gen good  31 Fair      90 Good      54 Gen good
ADI late              3 Very poor  77 Good      3 Very poor  71 Good
Max LVORI early       3            5            3            7
Max LVORI late        5            1            6            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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