Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Kentucky and Southern Indiana
National Weather Service Louisville KY
340 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA TODAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE SLIDES ACROSS THE GULF STATES. HIGHS
SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70 WITH SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONLY BOTTOM OUT IN THE 50
TO 60 PERCENT RANGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH A STEADY SOUTH WIND.

INZ076-083-084-089-212115-
Orange-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Including the cities of Paoli, Jasper, English, and Tell City
340 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 /240 AM CST Tue Feb 21 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      showers      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)      68 (-3)      51 (-2)      69
RH % (24H TREND)      61 (+22)     100 (+19)    60
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3387                      4776
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     27096                     28656
DISPERSION            Poor                      Poor
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  4 VERY POOR  5 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              17 GEN POOR  6 VERY POOR  22 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 70. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much
cooler. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-212115-
Hancock-Breckinridge-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Larue-Butler-Edmonson-
Hart-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-
Including the cities of Lewisport, Hawesville, Hardinsburg,
Hartford, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Hodgenville, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin,
Providence, Scottsville, and Glasgow
340 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 /240 AM CST Tue Feb 21 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      69 (-4)      51 (-3)      70
RH % (24H TREND)      56 (+21)     100 (+23)    64
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  6 G19                  Lgt/Var
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.11         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5662                      4716
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 10                      S  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     82385                     31773
DISPERSION            Good                      Marginal
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             26 FAIR      6 VERY POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              31 FAIR      7 POOR       19 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            9
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much
cooler. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-212115-
Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Harrison-Floyd-Clark-Meade-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Spencer-Nelson-
Including the cities of Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Corydon,
New Albany, Jeffersonville, Brandenburg, Shepherdsville,
Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville,
Taylorsville, and Bardstown
340 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      68 (-3)      51 (-1)      68
RH % (24H TREND)      55 (+17)     100 (+23)    62
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  5 G17                  Lgt/Var
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.06         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4467                      4128
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      SE  3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     66266                     20640
DISPERSION            Good                      Poor
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            2
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  4 VERY POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              19 GEN POOR  7 POOR       10 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Thunderstorms likely and chance of
rain showers. Much cooler. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper
40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-212115-
Franklin-Scott-Harrison-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Washington-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark-
Including the cities of Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, and Winchester
340 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0
TEMP (24H TREND)      68 (-1)      50 (-1)      66
RH % (24H TREND)      51 (+11)     100 (+24)    68
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  6 G18                  Lgt/Var
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.00
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5033                      3686
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     83028                     17537
DISPERSION            Good                      Poor
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  STBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             36 FAIR      3 VERY POOR  9 POOR
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       12 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            9            4

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. South winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much
cooler. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers and
snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-212115-
Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Monroe-
Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond,
Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty, Stanford, Tompkinsville,
Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown, Burkesville, and Albany
340 AM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 /240 AM CST Tue Feb 21 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        Cloudy       MCldy
PRECIP TYPE           showers      showers      showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      69 (-3)      51 (-1)      68
RH % (24H TREND)      50 (+17)     100 (+25)    67
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   S  6 G20                  Lgt/Var
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   S  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.21         0.01
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6364                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     88880                     25298
DISPERSION            Good                      Poor
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  STBL
LAL                   1            1            1
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  6 VERY POOR  12 POOR
ADI LATE              55 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       17 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        3            8            4

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much
cooler. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain showers
and snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$



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