Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 021943
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
243 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER THAN NORMAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH TUESDAY...BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT DROPPED THROUGH
THE MIDSOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING. THERE WILL BE LITTLE TO NO CHANCE
OF WETTING RAINS. DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE MIDDLE TO LATE
PART OF THE WEEK...AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS.


ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-031115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
243 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      52 (-4)      69 (-1)      51           75
RH % (24H TREND)      88 (+4)      46 (-9)      83           39
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 3-7                     W 6-10 G18
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NW 2-6       NW 4-8       NW 2-6       NW 10-14 G19
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1698                      2167
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5572                      7108
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1784                      2252
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                5854                      7390
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NW  5                     NW 12
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW 28
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  8920                      27024
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              63                        69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  4                      W  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N  9                      W 20
DISPERSION INDEX      10           30           10           88
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            3            4            3
STABILITY             D            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-031115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
243 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      56 (0)       69 (-2)      52           75
RH % (24H TREND)      85 (-8)      50 (-13)     86           42
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 4-8                     W 4-8 G17
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      NW 4-8       NW 2-6       W 9-13
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1628                      1999
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5340                      6559
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1690                      2061
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                5544                      6762
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NW  4                     NW 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     NW 25
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  6760                      22671
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              63                        70
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NW  4                     W  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NW 10                     W 16
DISPERSION INDEX      11           25           13           79
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                  3            3            4            3
STABILITY             E            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-031115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
243 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)
PRECIP BEGINS
PRECIP ENDS
TEMP (24H TREND)      52 (-4)      68 (0)       49           71
RH % (24H TREND)      90 (-5)      51 (-15)     90           46
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 2-6                     SW 5-9 G17
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      NW 4-8       NW 2-6       NW 10-14
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1648                      1858
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5406                      6095
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1769                      1979
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                5803                      6493
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NW  5                     NW 12
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     NW 28
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  8845                      23748
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              63                        65
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NW  4                     W  9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NW 10                     W 20
DISPERSION INDEX      5            39           10           91
LAL                   4            1            1            2
LASI                  3            3            3            3
STABILITY             E            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-031115-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
243 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     20           0            0            10
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM
PRECIP ENDS           1 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      53 (-5)      69 (+1)      50           73
RH % (24H TREND)      89 (-6)      50 (-19)     88           45
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 2-6                     W 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      NW 4-8       NW 2-6       W 10-14 G20
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1681                      1983
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5516                      6505
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1802                      2104
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                5913                      6902
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                W  5                      W 13
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 29
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  9010                      27352
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              64                        66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  4                      W  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N  9                      W 18
DISPERSION INDEX      5            43           17           92
LAL                   5            1            1            2
LASI                  3            3            4            3
STABILITY             E            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-031115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUNTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
243 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     20           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM
PRECIP ENDS           6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      56 (-2)      70 (0)       51           75
RH % (24H TREND)      92 (-4)      53 (-22)     89           44
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 2-6                     W 3-7
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      NW 4-8       NW 2-6       W 9-13 G18
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1375                      1974
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4510                      6475
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1447                      2045
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                4746                      6710
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NW  4                     W 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     W 25
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  5788                      22495
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              65                        69
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  5                      W  6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N 11                      W 14
DISPERSION INDEX      9            24           13           78
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                  3            3            3            3
STABILITY             E            B            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE EVENING.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-031115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
243 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.04         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 PM
PRECIP ENDS           6 AM
TEMP (24H TREND)      55 (-9)      72 (0)       50           74
RH % (24H TREND)      91 (-4)      50 (-21)     89           42
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                N 2-6                     W 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      NW 3-7       NW 3-7       W 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1639                      1905
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                5377                      6250
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 1763                      2029
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                5783                      6657
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                W  4                      W 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      W 24
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  7052                      22319
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              67                        66
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               N  4                      W  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               N  8                      W 15
DISPERSION INDEX      9            31           19           77
LAL                   5            1            1            2
LASI                  3            3            3            3
STABILITY             E            B            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE
MORNING.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SJM/PWB



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