Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 242012
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING A LINE OF
RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, SOME POSSIBLY SEVERE, DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. FRONT WILL THEN EXIT THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING,
FOLLOWED BY MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252115-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-3)   50-55 (-22)  22-27        44-49
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+13) 30-35 (-13)  67-72        22-27
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G28                  W  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G29     W 13 G31     W  9 G23     LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           60           0            0
Precip duration       3            2
Precip begin          10 PM        Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.16         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7400                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 26                      W  9
Dispersion                         124 Very good             10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 14 G28                  W  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G29     W 17 G31     W 12 G23     SW  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the upper 30s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
upper 30s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252115-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (0)    52-57 (-16)  21-26        43-48
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+6)   32-37 (-15)  68-73        19-24
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G31                  NW  7 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G31     W 15 G34     NW 12 G31    W  5
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           60           20           0
Precip duration       1            2            1
Precip begin          1 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   12 AM
Precip amount         0.07         0.11         0.01         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7400                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)                W 28                      W 13
Dispersion                         109 Very good             7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 14 G31                  NW  9 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G31     W 20 G34     NW 16 G31    W  6

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s
to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Warmer. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-252115-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-2)   50-55 (-18)  21-26        45-50
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+8)  33-38 (-14)  65-70        18-23
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 12 G33                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G43     W 14 G34     NW  9 G23    LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           60           20           0
Precip duration       3            2            1
Precip begin          10 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   12 AM
Precip amount         0.24         0.05         0.01         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7200                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                W 25                      NW  9
Dispersion                         89 Good                   5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 16 G33                  NW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 20 G43     W 17 G34     NW 11 G23    W  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to upper 30s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the 30s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to upper 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-252115-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (0)    52-57 (-19)  24-29        50-55
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-2)   31-36 (-16)  63-68        16-21
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G27                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G29     NW 12 G29    NW  7 G20    LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           40           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          10 PM        Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.24         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6500                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      NW  6
Dispersion                         83 Good                   7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 13 G27                  N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G29     NW 16 G29    NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid to upper 40s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the upper 30s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-252115-
Nantahala National Forest-
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   52-57 (-17)  23-28        50-55
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   32-37 (-19)  68-73        16-21
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G28                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G27     NW 13 G31    NW  8 G21    LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          10 PM        Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   4            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      NW  7
DISPERSION                         92 Good                   6 Very poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 13 G28                  N  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G27     NW 17 G31    NW 10 G21    W  5

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 50s to
upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252115-
East Tennessee District East-
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-1)   52-57 (-22)  24-29        47-52
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  33-38 (-8)   68-73        21-26
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 12 G32                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G22     W 14 G34     W  8 G21     LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           60           0            0
Precip duration       3            2
Precip begin          10 PM        Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.19         0.08         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6900                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 26                      W  7
Dispersion                         123 Very good             11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 15 G32                  W  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G22     W 18 G34     W 10 G21     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Warmer. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower
40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252115-
East Tennessee District West-
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-6)   48-53 (-25)  24-29        49-54
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (+3)   33-38 (-11)  65-70        19-24
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 12 G28                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G27     W 12 G29     NW  6 G17    LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           30           0            0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.51         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      SW  5
Dispersion                         97 Good                   8 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 15 G28                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G27     W 15 G29     NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Warmer. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-252115-
Cumberland District South-
312 PM EST Fri Feb 24 2017 /212 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017/

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-6)   50-55 (-23)  25-30        51-56
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+2)   30-35 (-18)  66-71        19-24
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW 12 G26                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G25     NW 12 G25    NW  5 G17    LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           20           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   10 AM
Precip amount         0.46         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 21                      E  6
Dispersion                         81 Good                   10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 15 G26                 NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G25     NW 14 G25    NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Warmer. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 50s.
Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

$$


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