Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FNUS54 KOHX 270959
FWFOHX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
459 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...
CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS LOOKING A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE TODAY AS
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. 18Z LIFT IS IN PLACE ALTHOUGH THE BOUNDARY IS
STILL OFF TO OUR NORTHWEST. ALSO, CAP EROSION IS APPARENT BY 18Z.
WILL INCLUDE 40 TO 60 POPS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS
AMPLIFIES ALONG THE SPINE OF THE MS RIVER. DEEP MOISTURE AND
FAVORABLE OMEGAS WILL COMBINE, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHWESTERN AREAS
BY 12Z WITH POPS INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT. EVEN HIGHER POPS ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AS MIDDLE TN REMAINS IS A FAVORABLE PVA
ZONE.

LOW POPS TO CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PERIOD AS SOME BROAD
TROUGHING REMAINS.


TNZ400-281200-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT (NORTH)-
459 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      88 (-5)      72 (0)       82
RH % (24H TREND)      63 (+11)     93 (-2)      76
AM 20FT WND (MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 4-8
PM 20FT WND (MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 4-8
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           60           80
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.21         0.15         0.33
PRECIP DUR (HR)       2            5            12
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    2200                      1700
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   7100                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  4                      SW  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW 16
DISPERSION INDEX      21           2            46
LAL                   3            4            5
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MAXIMUM LVORI         1            0            0
RH RECOVERY                        EXCELLENT

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 70.
WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RH 66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ501-281200-
HIGHLAND RIM DISTRICT (NORTH)-
459 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      89 (-5)      72 (-1)      82
RH % (24H TREND)      63 (+13)     96 (0)       79
AM 20FT WND (MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 4-8
PM 20FT WND (MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 4-8
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           60           80
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.26         0.19         0.75
PRECIP DUR (HR)       2            5            12
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1800                      1600
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   5900                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  4                      SW  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SW  9
DISPERSION INDEX      18           2            21
LAL                   3            4            5
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MAXIMUM LVORI         1            0            0
RH RECOVERY                        EXCELLENT

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH
61 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ502-281200-
HIGHLAND RIM DISTRICT (SOUTH)-
459 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      90 (-4)      73 (0)       84
RH % (24H TREND)      60 (+13)     94 (0)       73
AM 20FT WND (MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 6-10
PM 20FT WND (MPH)     S 3-7        S 3-7        SW 7-11
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     50           60           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.25         0.08         0.42
PRECIP DUR (HR)       2            5            9
PRECIP BEGIN          6 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1900                      1600
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   6100                      5200
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   S  6                      SW  9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 20
DISPERSION INDEX      36           4            34
LAL                   3            4            5
HAINES INDEX          2            2            2
MAXIMUM LVORI         1            0            0
RH RECOVERY                        EXCELLENT

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
62 PERCENT. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH
59 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

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