Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FNUS73 KBIS 211141
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR ASH COULEE CREEK...EPA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
541 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

.TODAY...

SKIES WILL BE CLOUDY TODAY WITH WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. A SHALLOW LOW
LEVEL INVERSION WILL MAINTAIN A POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY WILL BE IN THE LOWER 30S. TONIGHT PATCHY FOG WILL DEVELOP WITH
A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. WINDS WILL AGAIN BE WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. THE SMOKE
DISPERSAL WILL REMAIN POOR.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
LOWEST WIND CHILL...20.
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
SKY (%).........92  91  90  85  87  90  93  93  94
WEATHER COV.....PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
TEMP............28  29  29  30  30  31  31  31  29
WIND CHILL (F)..21  21  21  21  21  21  22  21  20
SURFACE WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
SURFACE WND SPD.6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9   8
SURFACE WND GST.10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
SDSPL KT-FT/10000   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW LATE IN THE EVENING THEN CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
LOWEST WIND CHILL...12.
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........95  94  93  92  89  82  79  81  84  86  84  81
WEATHER COV.....    PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....    FOG FOG SNF SNF SNF SN  SN  SN  SNF SNF SNF
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  20  20  20
TEMP............27  25  26  25  24  23  23  24  25  25  24  23
WIND CHILL (F)..18  17  17  16  15  14  14  14  15  15  14  12
SURFACE WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
SURFACE WND SPD.7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9
SURFACE WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
SDSPL KT-FT/10000   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...ABELING
REQUESTED BY...GINA CRISTIANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 1604213.41/BIS
.EMAIL ROMERO.DAVID@EPA.GOV,CRISTIANO.GINA@EPA.GOV,DHIEUX.JOYEL@EPA.GOV,GUY.KERRY@EPA.GOV


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