Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FNUS74 KBMX 151326
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG TIME...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
726 AM CST MON DEC 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0723 CST ON DECEMBER 15.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD. A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE AL/MS BORDER. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. NEXT HIGH RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED LATE
FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE ANTICIPATED
AT THIS TIME.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 15 IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     43     55     62     66     64
RH..............89     77     56     43     39     52
20 FT WIND......E 1    SE 2   S 2    S 3    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.<5     5      5      5      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    500    1200   1700   1700   1400
DISPERSION......0      1      5      12     17     16
TRANSPORT WIND..090/2  140/1  200/3  210/6  180/8  160/10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-700 FT AGL.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............59     56     53     52     53     53
RH..............59     68     80     88     84     82
20 FT WIND......SE 5   S 6    S 6    S 7    SW 7   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     60     60     60     60     60
MIX HGT (FT)....700    500    400    400    400    300
DISPERSION......8      8      12     13     13     11
TRANSPORT WIND..160/12 170/13 180/14 180/15 190/15 210/13

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 17 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 46 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 56 DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 30.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     53     55     57     58     55
RH..............84     75     66     59     54     58
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 8    W 9    W 10   W 10   W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....400    1900   3100   3400   3600   2500
DISPERSION......7      33     48     60     57     43
TRANSPORT WIND..230/10 250/17 260/20 270/17 280/16 290/15

$$
FORECASTER...ANDERSON
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141215.LONGT.01/BMX





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