Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 051508
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPIRANTHES...CITY OF FORT COLLINS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
908 AM MDT THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE TODAY
WITH WEAK WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH
WARMER THAN NORMAL WITH DEEP MIXING LAYERS DEVELOPING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  STRONG HEATING THROUGH THE DAY MAY
CAUSE A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.  GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED FROM ANY SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP.  INCREASING
SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE
BEGINS MOVING EAST OF COLORADO. WARM TEMPERATURES AND
GENERALLY DRY CONDTIONS WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY...WITH A
THREAT OF SHOWERS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-65%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-34%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9500-10500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-64%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-9000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 3500-4500 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.

.FRIDAY...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-42%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SPIRANTHES.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

05/05-08 27  5  1 43 49 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 13  2985   W 12 29110 P
05/05-09 30  5  1 48 44 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 10  3796   W 12 38975 P
05/05-10 36  5  1 52 38   W  3  3 3 1   W 10  5580   W 10 49089  F
05/05-11 33  5  1 56 33   W  2  2 3 1   W  9  7363   W  8 53961  F
05/05-12 36 12  2 58 30   W  2  2 3 2   W  9  9147   W  7 53589  F
05/05-13 48 12  2 59 30 WSW  2  2 3 2   W  9  9670   W  6 48633  F
05/05-14 53 13  3 60 30   S  2  2 3 2   W  9 10194  SW  5 42810  F
05/05-15 61 14  3 60 31 SSE  3  3 3 2   W  8 10717  SW  3 36118 P
05/05-16 67 16  3 60 32 SSE  5  5 3 3   W  8 10105  SW  5 40107  F
05/05-17 66 15  3 60 34 SSE  7  7 3 3 WSW  7  9493 SSW  6 43364  F
05/05-18 70 12  2 58 37 SSE  8 13 3 2 WSW  6  8881 SSW  6 45888  F
05/05-19 65 12  2 55 42 SSE  8 13 3 2  SW  7  6405   S  9 48416  F
05/05-20 60 11  2 52 46 SSE  7  7 3 2   S  8  3928   S 12 39094 P
05/05-21 55 13  3 48 52   S  7  7 3 2   S  9  1452   S 14 17924 P
05/05-22 57 13  3 46 54   S  7  7 3 2   S 10  1275   S 15 16008 P
05/05-23 58 12  2 45 53   S  8 13 3 1   S 12  1099   S 15 14018 P
05/06-00 57  9  2 44 53   S  8 13 3 1   S 12   922   S 15 11955 P
05/06-01 55  9  2 43 54   S  8 13 3 1   S 12  1010   S 15 13347 P
05/06-02 55  9  2 43 53 SSW  7  7 3 1 SSW 12  1098 SSW 15 14782 P
05/06-03 54  9  2 42 55 SSW  7  7 3 1 SSW 12  1186 SSW 16 16260 P
05/06-04 65  9  2 41 57 SSW  7  7 3 1 SSW  9  1210  SW 16 16947 P
05/06-05 65  9  2 40 59  SW  8  8 3 1  SW  7  1234 WSW 16 17290 P
05/06-06 65  9  2 40 59  SW  8 13 3 1  SW  3  1259 WSW 16 17633 P
05/06-07 65  9  2 42 59  SW  8  8 3 1   S  5  2086 WSW 14 25806 P
05/06-08 65  9  2 45 56  SW  7  7 3 1  SE  6  2914   W 13 31263 P
05/06-09 65  9  2 48 52 WSW  7  7 3 1 ESE  6  3742   W 10 34002 P
05/06-10 65  9  2 51 46 SSW  7  7 3 1 ESE  6  5847  SW  9 47078  F
05/06-11 65  9  2 53 43  SE  7  7 3 1 ESE  6  7951 SSE  8 55800  F
05/06-12 70 44 21 55 40   E  7  7 3 4 ESE  7 10056 ESE  7 60167   G
05/06-13 70 44 21 55 41   E  7  7 3 4  SE 10  8866  SE  7 56562  F
05/06-14 70 44 21 55 43 ESE  7  7 2 4   S 14  7676 SSE  8 52013  F
05/06-15 70 44 21 54 47 ESE  7  7 2 4   S 17  6486   S  8 46521  F
05/06-16 70 44 21 53 49 ESE  7  7 2 4   S 23  6353   S 13 69965   G
05/06-17 70 44 21 52 52 ESE  8 13 3 4   S 30  6221 SSE 17 92393   G
05/06-18 67 52 28 50 56 ESE  8 13 3 4   S 37  6088 SSE 22113804    V
05/06-19 67 52 28 48 62 ESE  7  7 3 4   S 36  4377 SSE 17 66490   G
05/06-20 67 52 28 46 68 ESE  7  7 3 4   S 35  2666  SE 14 31160 P
05/06-21 67 52 28 44 73 ESE  6  6 3 4   S 33   955  SE  9  7815 P
05/06-22 67 52 28 42 77  SE  6  6 4 4   S 32  1004  SE  9  8155 P
05/06-23 67 52 28 41 77  SE  7  7 4 4   S 32  1053 SSE  9  8488 P
05/07-00 47 32 11 40 76 SSE  7  7 5 1 SSW 31  1102   S  9  8816 P
05/07-01 47 32 11 40 72   S  7  7 5 1   S 33  1189   S 10 10387 P
05/07-02 47 32 11 39 72   W  7  7 5 1   S 36  1275  SW 10 12087 P
05/07-03 47 32 11 38 73 WNW  7  7 5 1   S 38  1362 WSW 12 13915 P
05/07-04 47 32 11 37 76 NNW  7  7 5 1   S 37  1221 SSW 10 10683 P
05/07-05 47 32 11 36 82  NE  8  8 4 1   S 35  1079 ESE  8  7865 P
05/07-06 58 41 18 36 85   E  8 13 4 1   S 33   938   E  7  5461 P
05/07-07 58 41 18 37 85   E  9 14 4 1   S 32  1265   E  8  9395 P
05/07-08 58 41 18 39 80 ENE  9 15 3 1 SSE 32  1592   E 10 14378 P
05/07-09 58 41 18 40 79 ENE 10 16 3 1 SSE 32  1920   E 13 20411 P
05/07-10 58 41 18 41 77 ENE 12 17 3 1 SSE 35  2199   E 13 24904 P
05/07-11 58 41 18 42 74   E 12 18 4 1  SE 37  2478   E 14 29785 P
05/07-12 78 71 54 42 73   E 12 18 4 5 ESE 40  2757   E 15 35052 P
05/07-13 78 71 54 42 70   E 12 18 4 5 ESE 38  3156   E 16 43123  F
05/07-14 78 71 54 41 69   E 10 17 3 5  SE 36  3556 ESE 17 51952  F
05/07-15 78 71 54 40 70   E 10 16 3 5  SE 33  3955 ESE 18 61538   G
05/07-16 78 71 54 39 75   E 10 16 3 5  SE 32  3816 ESE 16 52550  F
05/07-17 78 71 54 39 80   E  9 15 3 5   S 31  3677 ESE 14 44059  F
05/07-18 87 59 36 38 85   E  9 15 3 5   S 29  3539 ESE 12 36064 P
05/07-19 87 59 36 36 89 ENE  8 14 3 5   S 24  3093 ESE 10 26739 P
05/07-20 87 59 36 35 87 NNW  8  8 3 5 SSW 18  2647 ESE  8 18792 P
05/07-21 87 59 36 34 85 WNW  7  7 3 5  SW 13  2201 ESE  7 12223 P
05/07-22 87 59 36 33 88 WNW  7  7 3 5 WSW 14  2413 SSE 12 24343 P
05/07-23 87 59 36 33 88   W  6  6 2 5 WNW 16  2624 WSW 17 38383 P
05/08-00 84 43 20 33 89 WSW  6  6 2 1  NW 17  2835   W 22 54341  F
05/08-01 84 43 20 32 91 WSW  6  6 2 1  NW 17  2744   W 21 50520  F
05/08-02 84 43 20 32 89 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 17  2653   W 21 46836  F
05/08-03 84 43 20 32 87 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 18  2561   W 20 43291  F
05/08-04 84 43 20 31 88 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 17  2574   W 17 39078 P
05/08-05 84 43 20 31 86 WSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 16  2587   W 15 34821 P
05/08-06 84 46 23 31 85 WSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 15  2600   W 14 30519 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...DANKERS
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER ROBERTS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.SPIRA.01/BOU



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