Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 282119
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAT TOP SAR...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
319 PM MDT THU JUL 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1452 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER
THE FRONT RANGE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...SOME
RAIN...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
RELATIVELY MILD, BUT IT WILL REMAIN QUITE BREEZY OVER THE MOUNTAIN
TOPS THROUGH THE NIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........23%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000-13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........93%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6-11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 7-9 MPH UNTIL
                    0300...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0500.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2300...THEN 3 UNTIL 0300...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    0500...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 7900 FT AGL
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN 5100 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    1900-2900 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 3900-4800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR UNTIL
                    0400...THEN FAIR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 6-8 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FLAT TOP SAR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/28-15 50 27  7 60 24   W 18 30 4 4 WNW 20 13397 WNW 21246895     E
07/28-16 55 28  8 59 23 WNW 16 25 4 4 WNW 21 12521   W 22233579     E
07/28-17 55 30  9 59 24 WNW 15 24 3 4   W 22 11646   W 22219869     E
07/28-18 55 31 10 57 28 WNW 13 21 3 4   W 23 10770   W 22205764     E
07/28-19 54 31 10 54 38 WNW 10 16 3 4   W 23  7928   W 17119733    V
07/28-20 54 32 11 50 54 NNW  7  7 3 4   W 22  5085  SW 13 56452  F
07/28-21 53 32 11 46 76 ESE  8 13 3 4   W 22  2243 SSW  8 15923 P
07/28-22 51 28  8 45 89  SE  9 15 3 4   W 22  2051 SSW  9 16128 P
07/28-23 48 23  5 44 93  SE 10 16 3 3   W 23  1859 SSW 10 16040 P
07/29-00 46 19  4 44 86 SSE 10 16 3 3 WNW 23  1668 SSW 10 15659 P
07/29-01 43 17  3 44 79   S 10 16 3 3 WNW 23  2103  SW 12 20973 P
07/29-02 40 15  3 43 79 SSW  8 13 3 3 WNW 22  2538   W 13 26794 P
07/29-03 37 13  3 42 76 WSW  8 13 3 2 WNW 22  2974 WNW 13 33123 P
07/29-04 34 10  2 41 79 WSW  8 13 3 2 WNW 21  3887 WNW 14 45630  F
07/29-05 31  8  2 41 76 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 20  4800 WNW 14 59236  F
07/29-06 28  6  1 41 70   W  7  7 3 1  NW 18  5713 WNW 15 73939   G
07/29-07 27  4  1 42 70   W  6  6 3 1  NW 17  5517 WNW 14 66334   G
07/29-08 27  4  1 44 65   W  6  6 2 1  NW 15  5321 WNW 13 59089  F
07/29-09 26  4  1 47 58 WNW  6  6 2 1  NW 14  5125 WNW 12 52204  F
07/29-10 25  4  1 50 54 WNW  6  6 2 1 WNW 14  6337 WNW 12 65764   G
07/29-11 41  4  1 53 50 WNW  5  5 2 1 WNW 13  7549 WNW 13 79787   G
07/29-12 57  6  1 55 47 WNW  5  5 2 1 WNW 13  8762 WNW 13 94273   G
07/29-13 53 14  3 56 47 WNW  5  5 2 2   W 13  8988 WNW 13 98523   G
07/29-14 50 22  4 56 47 NNW  6  6 3 3   W 14  9214   W 13102865    V
07/29-15 46 29  8 55 47  NW  6  6 3 4   W 14  9441   W 13107298    V
07/29-16 46 37 15 56 43   W  5  5 3 4   W 15  9218   W 14108600    V
07/29-17 46 37 15 57 40   W  5  5 3 4   W 16  8995   W 15113001    V
07/29-18 39 33 12 55 34   W  7  7 3 4   W 18  8772   W 15117053    V
07/29-19 39 33 12 53 39   W  7  7 3 4   W 18  6895   W 14 85316   G
07/29-20 39 33 12 50 47   W  8 13 3 4   W 18  5018   W 13 57221  F
07/29-21 39 33 12 47 56   W  8 13 3 4   W 18  3141   W 12 32769 P
07/29-22 39 33 12 46 60   W  8 14 3 4 WNW 21  2613   W 12 27374 P
07/29-23 39 33 12 45 63   W  9 14 2 4 WNW 22  2085   W 13 21933 P
07/30-00 23  6  1 45 63   W  9 15 2 1 WNW 24  1557   W 13 16447 P
07/30-01 23  6  1 44 64   W  9 15 2 1 WNW 23  2972   W 14 37049 P
07/30-02 23  6  1 43 64   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 22  4386   W 16 63037   G
07/30-03 23  6  1 42 65   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 21  5801 WNW 18 94413   G
07/30-04 23  6  1 41 65   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 21  5545 WNW 18 91123   G
07/30-05 23  6  1 41 64   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 22  5289 WNW 20 87751   G
07/30-06 17  6  1 42 60   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 23  5033 WNW 20 84299   G
07/30-07 17  6  1 45 52   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 23  5295 WNW 20 90135   G
07/30-08 17  6  1 50 43   W 10 17 3 1 WNW 23  5556 WNW 20 96115   G
07/30-09 17  6  1 54 37 WNW 12 18 3 1 WNW 22  5818 WNW 21102238    V
07/30-10 17  6  1 58 31 WNW 12 18 3 1 WNW 20  7346 WNW 18119987    V
07/30-11 17  6  1 61 27 WNW 12 18 3 1 WNW 17  8875 WNW 17133941    V
07/30-12 36 18  4 63 24 WNW 12 18 3 3 WNW 15 10404 WNW 16144099    V
07/30-13 36 18  4 64 23 WNW 12 18 3 3 WNW 14 11088 WNW 15144629    V
07/30-14 36 18  4 64 22 WNW 10 17 3 3 WNW 13 11772 WNW 14144056    V
07/30-15 36 18  4 63 22 WNW 10 16 3 3   W 13 12456 WNW 13142380    V
07/30-16 36 18  4 63 22 WNW  9 15 3 3   W 12 12295 WNW 12128862    V
07/30-17 36 18  4 62 22 WNW  9 14 3 3 WNW 10 12135 WNW 12115648    V
07/30-18 33 14  3 61 23 WNW  8 13 3 2 WNW  9 11974 WNW 10102740    V
07/30-19 33 14  3 58 27 WNW  8  8 3 2 WNW  9  9696 WNW  9 76141   G
07/30-20 33 14  3 55 32   W  7  7 3 2 WNW  9  7419 WNW  8 52858  F
07/30-21 33 14  3 52 38   W  7  7 3 2  NW  8  5141 WNW  7 32888 P
07/30-22 33 14  3 50 43   W  7  7 3 2  NW 10  5311 WNW  9 41980  F
07/30-23 33 14  3 48 49 WSW  7  7 3 2  NW 13  5480 WNW 10 51584  F
07/31-00 29  4  1 47 54 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 14  5650  NW 13 61699   G
07/31-01 29  4  1 46 57 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 15  5610 WNW 14 67778   G
07/31-02 29  4  1 46 56   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 16  5570 WNW 15 73764   G
07/31-03 29  4  1 45 58   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 17  5530 WNW 16 79658   G
07/31-04 29  4  1 44 58   W  8 14 3 1 WNW 18  5090 WNW 17 74608   G
07/31-05 29  4  1 43 59   W  9 14 3 1   W 18  4649   W 17 69335   G
07/31-06 49 24  5 44 55   W  9 15 3 3   W 18  4209   W 17 63837   G
07/31-07 49 24  5 47 49   W  9 15 3 3 WNW 20  4783   W 17 73730   G
07/31-08 49 24  5 51 43   W  9 15 3 3 WNW 20  5356 WNW 18 83910   G
07/31-09 49 24  5 56 37   W  9 15 3 3 WNW 21  5929 WNW 18 94377   G
07/31-10 49 24  5 59 34   W  9 15 3 3 WNW 18  7449 WNW 17108143    V
07/31-11 49 24  5 61 32 WSW  9 15 3 3   W 16  8969   W 15117656    V
07/31-12 67 42 19 63 31 WSW  9 15 3 4   W 14 10489   W 14122916    V
07/31-13 67 42 19 63 32 WSW  9 15 3 4   W 15 10141   W 15129194    V
07/31-14 67 42 19 63 33 WSW  9 14 2 4   W 15  9794   W 16134764    V
07/31-15 67 42 19 62 35   W  9 14 2 4   W 16  9447   W 17139624    V
07/31-16 67 42 19 61 36   W  8 14 2 4   W 14  9098   W 15118415    V
07/31-17 67 42 19 60 38   W  8 14 2 4   W 13  8748   W 13 98438   G
07/31-18 77 35 13 59 40   W  8 13 2 4   W 12  8399   W 10 79693   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...RANGER NATTRESS
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160728.FLATT.01/BOU


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