Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 211437
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Trout Creek Turkey...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
837 AM MDT Sat Oct 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MDT on October 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moderate and dry west/northwest flow aloft will
remain across the area through Monday. Cooler temperatures today
will be followed by a quick warmup Sunday. The dry airmass in
place combined with sunshine and the flow aloft will aid smoke
dispersion during the late morning and afternoon hours. Humidities
will be relatively low during this period with only moderate
humidity recovery overnight. Surface winds should generally stay a
west or northwest direction through Sunday, but then turn more
northeasterly by Monday afternoon as a weak cold front pushes across
the area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........15-17%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6-12 mph with gusts to around
                    16 mph.
Mixing height.......7600-8600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........44-46%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6-7 mph.
Mixing height.......5300-6300 ft AGL until 2000. Below 1000 FT AGL
                    after 0500.
Transport winds.....West 15-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900. poor after 0500.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........18-19%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6-10 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700. 5100-6100 ft AGL
                    after 1200.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then fair until 1200, then
                    good until 1600, then fair until 1700, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. West
winds 5-6 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. West winds
5-6 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...
Cooler. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow. Lows in the lower
20s. Highs in the mid 40s.


Fire Weather Table for Trout Creek Turkey.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/21-12  8  0  0 44 21  NW 12 20 2 1         8036  NW 18127921    V
10/21-13  7  0  0 47 17  NW 13 20 2 1         8321  NW 18132604    V
10/21-14  6  0  0 48 17 WNW 13 20 2 1         8607  NW 18137296    V
10/21-15  5  0  0 48 17 WNW 12 18 2 1         8892 WNW 18141997    V
10/21-16  5  0  0 46 19 WNW 10 17 2 1         8022 WNW 17122887    V
10/21-17  4  0  0 43 21 WNW  9 15 2 1         7153 WNW 17104909    V
10/21-18  3  0  0 40 25 WNW  8 13 2 1         6283 WNW 16 88063   G
10/21-19  4  0  0 37 28   W  6  6 2 1         5155   W 16 71314   G
10/21-20  5  0  0 36 29 WSW  6  6 2 1         4026   W 16 54974  F
10/21-21  6  0  0 34 32  SW  7  7 2 1         2898   W 15 39043 P
10/21-22  7  0  0 33 32  SW  7  7 2 1         2331   W 15 31356 P
10/21-23  8  0  0 32 34  SW  8 13 3 1         1764 WSW 15 23692 P
10/22-00  9  0  0 32 36 SSW  8 13 3 1         1196 WSW 15 16049 P
10/22-01  9  0  0 32 38 SSW  7  7 3 1         1136 WSW 16 15900 P
10/22-02  9  0  0 33 36  SW  9 15 2 1         1076   W 17 15681 P
10/22-03 10  0  0 33 39  SW  9 15 2 1         1016   W 17 15392 P
10/22-04 10  0  0 33 41  SW  8 13 2 1          962   W 15 12611 P
10/22-05 11  0  0 34 41 SSW  9 15 2 1          909 WSW 13 10048 P
10/22-06  6  0  0 33 41 WSW  8 13 2 1          856 WSW 10  7387 P
10/22-07  6  0  0 34 44 WSW  8 13 2 1          993 WSW  9  8274 P
10/22-08  6  0  0 38 42 WSW  8 13 2 1         1130 WSW  9  9080 P
10/22-09  8  0  0 41 39 WSW  8 13 2 1         1267 WSW  9  9803 P
10/22-10  8  0  0 46 35   W  8 13 2 1         2489 WSW 10 22187 P
10/22-11  8  0  0 52 29   W  8 13 2 1         3712   W 12 37438 P
10/22-12 14  1  0 57 26   W  8 13 2 1         4935   W 13 55558  F
10/22-13 14  1  0 60 22   W  8 13 2 1         5712   W 13 63997   G
10/22-14 14  1  0 62 19   W  8 13 2 1         6488   W 13 72353   G
10/22-15 12  1  0 62 19 WNW  8 13 2 1         7264   W 13 80628   G
10/22-16 12  1  0 60 21 WNW  8 13 2 1         5845 WNW 12 56151  F
10/22-17 12  1  0 57 24 WNW  8 13 3 1         4426 WNW  9 35911 P
10/22-18 16  0  0 54 27   W  7  7 3 1         3006 WNW  8 19907 P
10/22-19 16  0  0 50 32   W  7  7 3 1         2362 WNW  8 15486 P
10/22-20 16  0  0 47 37   W  7  7 3 1         1719   W  7 11152 P
10/22-21  9  0  0 44 41   W  7  7 3 1         1075   W  7  6902 P
10/22-22  9  0  0 43 43   W  7  7 3 1         1014   W  8  6797 P
10/22-23  9  0  0 42 45   W  7  7 3 1          953   W  8  6658 P
10/23-00 19  1  0 42 45   W  7  7 2 1          891 WSW  8  6483 P
10/23-01 19  1  0 41 46   W  8 13 2 1          924   W  8  6370 P
10/23-02 19  1  0 40 48   W  8 13 2 1          956   W  8  6233 P
10/23-03 12  1  0 39 50   W  7  7 2 1          988   W  7  6071 P
10/23-04 12  1  0 39 50   W  8 13 2 1          976 WSW  7  6283 P
10/23-05 12  1  0 39 50   W  8 13 2 1          964 WSW  8  6489 P
10/23-06 13  1  0 39 50   W  8 13 2 1          952 WSW  8  6687 P
10/23-07 13  1  0 40 50   W  7  7 2 1          972 WSW  7  5980 P
10/23-08 13  1  0 41 48   W  7  7 2 1          992   W  6  5238 P
10/23-09 14  1  0 44 45   W  6  6 2 1         1012   W  5  4461 P
10/23-10 14  1  0 48 39  NW  6  6 2 1         2588   W  8 18078 P
10/23-11 14  1  0 53 33  NW  6  6 2 1         4164   W 12 39821 P
10/23-12 14  1  0 58 28 NNW  6  6 2 1         5740   W 14 69690   G
10/23-13 14  1  0 60 26 NNW  7  7 2 1         6655   W 13 74901   G
10/23-14 14  1  0 61 25 NNW  7  7 3 1         7571 WNW 12 78486   G
10/23-15 21  1  0 60 26   N  7  7 3 1         8487  NW 10 80445   G
10/23-16 21  1  0 58 28   N  7  7 3 1         6316  NW 10 56172  F
10/23-17 21  1  0 54 33   N  7  7 3 1         4146 NNW  9 34442 P
10/23-18 27  1  0 50 39   N  6  6 3 1         1976 NNW  9 15255 P
10/23-19 27  1  0 47 45   N  6  6 3 1         1637 NNW  7  9387 P
10/23-20 27  1  0 44 52   N  6  6 2 1         1299  NW  5  4864 P
10/23-21 14  1  0 42 57 NNW  5  5 2 1          961  NW  2  1687 P
10/23-22 14  1  0 40 62  NW  3  3 2 1          947  NW  2  1838 P
10/23-23 14  1  0 39 63  NW  3  3 2 1          932   W  2  1983 P
10/24-00 12  1  0 38 64  NW  5  5 2 1          918   W  2  2124 P
10/24-01 12  1  0 37 66 WNW  3  3 2 1          943   W  2  2061 P
10/24-02 12  1  0 36 68 WNW  3  3 2 1          968 WNW  2  1991 P
10/24-03 11  1  0 35 69 WNW  3  3 2 1          993 WNW  2  1915 P
10/24-04 11  1  0 34 70 WNW  3  3 2 1          967 WNW  2  2252 P
10/24-05 11  1  0 33 71 WNW  3  3 2 1          941 WNW  3  2569 P
10/24-06 13  1  0 33 69 WNW  3  3 2 1          915 WNW  3  2864 P
10/24-07 13  1  0 34 64 WNW  3  3 2 1         1789 WNW  5  6868 P
10/24-08 13  1  0 38 53  NW  3  3 2 1         2662 WNW  6 12110 P
10/24-09 13  1  0 42 45  NW  3  3 2 1         3536 WNW  6 18591 P
10/24-10 13  1  0 46 38   N  5  5 2 1         4410 WNW  7 26311 P
10/24-11 13  1  0 49 33   N  5  5 2 1         5284  NW  8 35270 P
10/24-12 13  1  0 52 29   N  5  5 2 1         6157  NW  8 45468  F
10/24-13 13  1  0 55 26 NNE  5  5 2 1         5526  NW  8 38166 P
10/24-14 13  1  0 55 26 NNE  6  6 2 1         4896   N  7 31468 P
10/24-15 11  1  0 54 27 NNE  6  6 2 1         4265   N  7 25374 P
10/24-16 11  1  0 53 28 NNE  6  6 2 1         3634  NE  6 19882 P
10/24-17 11  1  0 51 30  NE  6  6 2 1         3003 ENE  6 14994 P
10/24-18 17  1  0 50 32  NE  6  6 2 1         2372   E  6 10710 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...Tom Barter
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717385.1/BOU


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