Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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FNUS71 KBOX 231626
FWSBOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEOMINSTER FIRE...MEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1226 PM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1158 EDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON WITH SOME
HIGH CLOUDS MOVING INTO NORTH CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS BY AROUND
SUNSET. DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER TEENS THIS AFTERNOON
AND...WITH TEMPERATURES TOPPING OFF IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S...EXPECT
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 15 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND. NORTHWEST WINDS AT AROUND 10 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS CLOSE
TO 20 MPH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WILL DIMINISH AS WINDS BACK TO
W-SW.

SW WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN ON SUNDAY. GUSTS MAY REACH 25 MPH
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
MASSACHUSETTS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 25
AND 30 PERCENT WITH INCREASING DEWPOINTS. NOTING THE DRY
CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ANOTHER DAY OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

LOOKING AT A DRY WARM AND MUGGY PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEK. SW WINDS
CONTINUE AND COULD BE GUSTY AT TIMES. APPRECIABLE RAINFALL IS NOT
EXPECTED. MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE 30 PERCENT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (65700-89000 KNOT-FT).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58  60  62  62  61
RH..................20  18  19  20  22
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  20  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.....6   6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.....20  20  20  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......6.1 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16  16  15  14  14
LVORI...............1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................54  54  50  45  44
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/1000....86  89  79  69  66

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-900 FT AGL
                    UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1400-43200 KNOT-FT).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............1   1   2   11  21  31  34  36  39  43  47  52
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................60  58  56  54  53  51  50  48  48  48  49  50
RH..................24  27  30  35  41  48  50  56  58  60  61  61
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......9   7   6   6   5   5   6   7   8   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.....W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.....5   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   5   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.9 2.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  12  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   8   9   10
LVORI...............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................47  32  5   5   4   4   4   4   3   4   4   5
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/1000....43  24  8   8   7   7   5   3   1   2   3   4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4400 FT
                    AGL...THEN INCREASING TO 5600-6800 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 6900-8000 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    4600-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5300-43800 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING
                    TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (65400-109100
                    KNOT-FT) EARLY...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    TO EXCELLENT (110400-136800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO EXCELLENT TO
                    EXCELLENT (64500-86300 KNOT-FT) LATE.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............45  38  31  27  22  17  16  15  14  13  11  9
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  54  56  60  64  68  72  75  77  77  77  75
RH..................59  54  53  47  41  37  33  31  29  30  30  33
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   9   10  10  12  13  13  14  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  25  20  20  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.....SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.....5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
EYE LVL WND GST.....15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  25  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.6 0.7 1.9 3.1 4.4 5.6 6.8 8.0 6.9 5.8 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  13  14  15  16  17  17  18  20  18  17  16
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................9   10  11  28  39  50  55  64  71  64  56  48
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5   7   8   25  44  65  84  109 137 110 86  65

$$
FORECASTER...EVT
REQUESTED BY...BILL DECOLA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150523.LEOMI.01/BOX



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