Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX

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000
FNUS74 KBRO 240317
FWSBRO

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOPPER FIRE...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
917 PM CST MON JAN 23 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2200 CST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE,CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WILL ALLOW FOR
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE BACK UP TO AROUND THE 85 PERCENT MARK
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. ON TUESDAY THE
MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AS THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS BUILD. LOWER
HUMIDITIES WILL PERSIST OUT WEST ON TUESDAY. AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS UNLIKELY THAT RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA WILL BE MET ON
TUESDAY...THOUGH A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG
AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS
ALSO POSSIBLE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS DRY NORTH WINDS WILL BLOW IN
BEHIND A COLD FRONT. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT REQUEST...MIN 57.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 100-300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CST)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61  61  60  59  59  58  57  57
RH..............53  55  57  62  67  73  77  80
20 FT WIND DIR..150 160 160 160 160 160 160 160
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.150 160 160 160 160 160 160 160
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.150 160 170 170 170 170 170 160
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   10  10  9   9   9   8

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 89.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1200-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 26 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
                    DECREASING TO 9 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58  59  62  65  71  77  82  86  88  89  88  85
RH..............82  84  82  76  63  50  40  33  30  28  30  34
20 FT WIND DIR..160 160 170 170 170 170 170 180 180 180 170 160
20 FT WIND SPD..10  12  14  16  17  17  17  17  17  16  14  12
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  25  25  30  30  30  25  25  20  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.160 160 170 170 170 170 170 180 180 180 170 160
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   7   7   8   9   10  10  10  9   8   7   6
EYE LVL WND GST.15  20  20  25  25  30  30  30  25  25  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 2.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.160 160 170 170 180 180 180 190 190 190 180 170
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   12  15  18  22  25  26  25  22  17  13  9

$$
FORECASTER...SPEECE
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS PECHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1700698.0/BRO
.EMAIL TPECHT@TFS.TAMU.EDU



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