Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FNUS72 KCAE 181333
FWSCAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATEREE RIVER HP/WMA...SC DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
833 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE FEEDBACK INCLUDING OBSERVATIONS TAKEN AT
THE BURN SITE WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED. YOU CAN USE THE SAME
WEBPAGE WHERE YOU REQUESTED THE SPOT FORECAST FOR THIS. YOU MAY
ALSO CALL OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT CURRENT NORTH OF THE SC/NC STATE
LINE THIS MORNING WILL SLOWLY BE PUSHING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE
DAY.  THE FRONT WILL BE NEAR THE BURN AREA BY NOONTIME.  EXPECTING
CONDITIONS TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE DAY. THERE WILL ONLY BE A
SLIGHT CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION WITH THE FRONT.  WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WILL BE SOUTHWESTERLY...WHILE THE WIND DIRECTION NORTH
OF THE FRONT TURNS MORE WEST/NORTHWESTERLY. THE BIGGER ISSUE MAY
BE THE WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS.  WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10
AND 15 MPH...WITH WIND GUSTS OF OVER 20 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.  TRANSPORT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER.  FOR
TONIGHT...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE AN ISSUE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 16 TO 23
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16...INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 49 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO 59 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 48.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60  54  42  37  31  19  13  12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
TEMP............68  72  74  77  78  79  78  74
RH..............73  61  55  48  45  41  40  43
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND DIR..260 260 270 280 280 290 290 310
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   9   8   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.7 2.4 3.4 3.4 3.8 3.8 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  14  23  23  23  16  16  16
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............19  24  49  59  59  58  58  48
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........9      7      2      8      9      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............69     61     57     53     51     49
RH..............49     58     59     66     68     71
20 FT WIND......NW 5   N 4    N 3    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 9    N 9    N 6    NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
LVORI...........2      3      3      3      3      4
ADI.............6      4      3      2      2      2
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6
                    MPH LATE.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9...INCREASING TO 15 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........22        46        56        63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0         10        10        10
TEMP............46        50        61        66
RH..............79        68        48        42
20 FT WIND......NE 2G5    E 4G5     E 3G5     E 2G5
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1100      2000      2000
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 6      E 9       NE 7      S 6
LVORI...........4         3         2         2
ADI.............6         12        13        14
LAL.............1         1         1         1

$$
FORECASTER...LISCINSKY
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS BENNETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700506.0/CAE


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