Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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FNUS73 KDMX 111517
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RATHBUN LAKE...US ARMY COE-RATHBUN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
917 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS WILL THICKEN TODAY WITH LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING TOWARDS
SUNSET. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........13 AT IGNITION...MAX 25.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1700-11700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24  37  49  56  71  78  82  91
WEATHER COV.....                    SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                    SN  SN  SN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............13  16  18  20  21  23  25  25
RH..............70  67  67  64  62  59  55  55
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   1   1   1   2   2   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5               5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..5   5   3   3   3   3   5   6
HAINES INDEX....3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........95     98     100    100    99     96
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
TSTM COV........
RH..............60     74     81     81     81     84
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   SE 4   S 4    SW 1
EYE LVL WND GST.

$$
FORECASTER...COGIL
REQUESTED BY...TYLER STEWART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.RATHB.01/DMX


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