Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 231219
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARRIER MARSH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
719 AM CDT THU MAY 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH WITH A GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WIND TODAY.  SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM THE NORTH WITH DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY
                    (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 16
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (47800-99400 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........16  21  16  13  9   4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............62  64  65  65  65  64
RH..............52  45  41  40  38  40
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..15  14  14  14  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.25  20  20  20  20  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  10  10  10  9   9
EYE LVL WND GST.25  20  20  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
MIXNG WIND SPD..22  20  18  16  15  14
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (15100-55200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING
                    TO POOR TO POOR (1200-1800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........1      1      1      0      0      2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63     56     51     48     44     43
RH..............39     51     63     71     82     86
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 8   NE 7   E 6    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 7   NE 6   NE 5   E 4    E 4    E 4
EYE LVL WND GST.       10
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   1800   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NE 13  NE 9   NE 7   E 6    E 6    E 6
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...SCHUMACHER
REQUESTED BY...DAN PAULSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130523.HARRI.01/DMX






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