Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 290757
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Fish Pointe 3...MDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
357 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure sliding through Ontario should keep
the Thumb region dry much of today. Cannot rule out a light
shower during the very late afternoon (after 4PM), but better
chances for rain look to hold off until mid or even late evening.
Rain is expected overnight. Winds should be from the
northeast at 10 to 15 mph this afternoon, with gusts not expected
to exceed 15 to 20 mph.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). A slight
                    chance of showers after 4PM.
Max temperature.....47-50.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1700 feet AGL around 9AM...rising to 3200 feet
                    AGL by late afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (20000-30000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)..........69  63  57  55  53  51  55  60  65
Weather cov......                            SCH SCH
Weather type.....                            RW  RW
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............43  42  43  43  43  43  45  46  47
RH...............73  72  69  64  61  59  56  54  55
Eye lvl wnd dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd..8   8   10  11  12  12  11  11  12
Eye lvl wnd gst..15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)....1.7 2.0 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.1
Transp wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd..15  15  14  13  10  10  10  12  13
Haines index.....2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/1000.30  30  30  30  30  20  20  30  30

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers early in the evening...then showers
                    expected in the mid to late evening.
Min temperature.....39-44.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 16 to 21 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%)..........70     79     85     92     99     96
Weather cov......S CHC  DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............47     45     45     45     45     43
RH...............63     68     67     68     75     84
Eye level wind...NE 9   E 8    NE 11  NE 13  NE 12  E 12
Eye lvl wnd gst..20     20     25     30     25     25

$$
Forecaster...Orow
Requested by...Don Klingler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707984.0/DTX
.EMAIL klinglerd@michigan.gov



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