Suppression Forecast
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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 101627
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COX RX...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1027 AM MDT THU JUL 10 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1035 MDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A PERSISTENT PATTERN WILL REMAIN PLACE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHICH
WILL KEEP A DAILY CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
AROUND NOON TIME. THERE IS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE DROPPING OUT OF
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WILL HELP TO INCREASE COVERAGE OF STORMS
THIS AFTERNOON. GOOD MOISTURE WILL REMAINS IN PLACE AND COMBINED
WITH SLOW STORM MOTION AND POTENTIAL FOR REBUILDING OVER THE SAME AREA
COULD LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER AN INCH NEAR THE BURN
AREA. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LOOK TO REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE 40 PERCENT THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH EXCELLENT RECOVERIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140710.COXRX.01/EPZ






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