Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 161146
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Bastrop State Park Rx Fire...Texas Parks and Wildlife Dept
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
646 AM CDT Mon Oct 16 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly clear skies are expected today with temperatures rising into the
middle 70s. Afternoon humidity values will be around 30 to 35 percent.
Northerly winds will remain around 10 to 15 mph on average before
weakening this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   2   2   1   1   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............57  62  66  69  71  74  75  74  74
RH..............59  52  47  42  39  35  33  34  34
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14  12  12  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.8 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.3 2.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  16  17  17  17  16  14  13  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......100-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............73  67  64  60  58  57  56  54  53  50  49  48
RH..............35  43  48  55  59  59  62  64  66  74  77  80
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then becoming light in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1600 ft AGL increasing to 2200-2900 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  47  49  54  60  67  72  73  75  77  78  77
RH..............77  79  77  66  55  43  35  33  31  29  28  29
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...29
Requested by...Greg Creacy
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717267.0/EWX
.EMAIL greg.creacy@tpwd.texas.gov



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