Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FNUS72 KFFC 291035
FWSFFC

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROUGH RIDGE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
535 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0100 EST ON NOVEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE BURN AREA
TODAY. ABOUT AN INCH OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN AND AN ADDITIONAL
INCH IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION BEFORE THE DAY ENDS. MOST OF THE
REMAINDER OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING BEFORE A LULL TAKES
PLACE MID-LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON. MIN RH VALUES WILL STAY
AROUND 70 PERCENT. NEAR SURFACE WINDS HAVE CALMED AND SHOULD
REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH AND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN
BETWEEN 15-20 MPH.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE BURN AREA TONIGHT...BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MIN RH VALUES ON WED WILL STILL LINGER AROUND 70
PERCENT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT...BUT WILL NOT BE A STRONG AS LAST NIGHT WITH 15-20 MPH
GUSTING 20-25 MPH THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED GUST
TO 30 MPH NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY AS A DRY AIRMASS MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ELEVATIONS ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA ABOVE 1500FT THROUGH 7AM THIS MORNING. SOUTH WINDS
BETWEEN 25 TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH INTO
EARLY TUESDAY.


.TODAY...

CWR.................50 PERCENT AROUND SUNRISE...DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT THROUGH 5PM
                    ...THEN INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-500 FT AGL BEFORE SUNRISE...INCREASING TO 2100-2800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON BEFORE BECOMING LIKELY TONIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 AT SUNRISE...INCREASING TO LOW TO MID 30S LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........100    87     65     68     70     75
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............59     60     63     66     68     68
RH..............88     77     71     70     71     74
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 7    S 8    S 9    S 10   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     15     15     20
DISPERSION IDX..8      10     31     33     35     29
LVORI...........8      4      3      3      3      3
CWR.............50     60     30     20     20     30

.TONIGHT...

CWR.................60 PERCENT AROUND SUNSET...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT TOWARD
                    SUNRISE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-500 FT AGL SUNSET THROUGH SUNRISE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................2.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN BECOMING LIKELY AFTER SUNSET
                    WITH THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
DISPERSION INDEX....10-15.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........85     90     94     93     93     93
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............65     62     61     61     61     61
RH..............87     97     100    100    100    100
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 9    S 10   S 13   S 15   S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10            15
DISPERSION IDX..12     9      11     14     15     15
LVORI...........5      8      7      5      5      5
CWR.............50     60     70     70     80     80

.WEDNESDAY...

CWR.................90 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 50 PERCENT
                    BY 5PM...THEN DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-500 FT AGL UNTIL SUNRISE...THEN INCREASING TO 2100-2800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....INCREASING QUICKLY FROM THE SOUTH TO 35 TO 40 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 AROUND SUNRISE...INCREASING TO 60 LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 35-40 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........97     98     99     96     93     89
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............62     61     65     64     63     60
RH..............100    98     79     72     67     66
20 FT WIND......S 16   S 16   S 14   SW 12  SW 10  SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       30     25     20     20     15
DISPERSION IDX..18     26     60     47     38     40
LVORI...........5      4      3      3      3      1
CWR.............90     90     90     90     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...KOVACIK
REQUESTED BY...TROY PARRISH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1603686.0/FFC


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