Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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952
FNUS72 KGSP 291033
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Hwy 107 State Park...USFS
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
633 AM EDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure will build south from eastern Canada along the
east coast today. Moisture will gradually return on Thursday, with
abundant moisture in place by Friday as a strong low pressure system
moves east from the Mississippi River Valley. Drier weather will
return for the weekend with unsettled weather returning early next
week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300-2200 ft AGL...increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph...becoming west 3 to 9
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1000-40900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................10...increasing to 34.
Stability class.....2.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........19000...decreasing to 4000 early in the
                    morning.
Visibility (SM).....8.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.37.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  24  23  22  21  26  31  36  37  37  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  52  57  62  66  69  72  74  75  76  76
Dewpoint........48  48  49  50  51  50  49  49  49  49  49
RH..............90  85  75  65  58  50  44  40  39  38  39
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.2 2.2 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.4
Transp wind dir.N   NW  W   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   6   8   9
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI.............5   5   7   11  14  14  15  18  30  31  37
VRate kt-ft/10001   1   5   7   10  10  11  14  23  33  41
Ceiling (hft)...190 40  40  45  45  45  45  50  50  50  50
Visibility (sm).8   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...837 839 840 841 842 842 841 840 840 839 839

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming east around 5 mph late.
Mixing height.......3100-4300 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-2000 ft
                    AGL early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph...becoming east 3 to 8
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1800-27000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................28...decreasing to 4.
Stability class.....5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........4500...decreasing to 1100.
Visibility (SM).....7.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.36.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  35  33  30  35  39  44  48  53  59  64  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  71  68  66  64  63  61  60  59  58  57  56
Dewpoint........49  51  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52
RH..............41  49  55  60  64  68  70  73  75  78  82  85
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 3.1 2.0 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   5   3   5   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5
ADI.............28  2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/100027  14  6   6   7   6   6   5   3   3   2   2
Ceiling (hft)...50  50  60  50  50  50  50  50  50  45  35  11
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   7
Sfc pres (in)...839 838 838 839 840 841 840 840 839 838 837 836

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. A chance of showers in the
                    morning...then showers likely and a slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL...increasing to 2300-2600 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 16 mph...becoming south 15 to 17
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2200-38900 knot-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................9...increasing to 36.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.14 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........1700...decreasing to 1000 early in the
                    morning.
Visibility (SM).....6...decreasing to 4 early in the morning.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.28.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  81  77  82  85  89  89  89  88  87  88  88
Weather cov.....PTY PTY SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....FOG FOG RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............55  55  56  58  60  61  62  63  64  65  65  65
Dewpoint........52  52  53  53  54  55  55  55  55  55  55  55
RH..............88  88  89  85  82  81  77  75  72  71  71  72
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   7   8   10  14  16  17  17  17  16  16  15
LVORI...........5   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............5   8   9   13  22  30  35  37  38  37  35  33
VRate kt-ft/10002   3   3   9   17  26  32  36  39  38  36  33
Ceiling (hft)...17  19  10  10  10  10  10  10  3.0 10  10  10
Visibility (sm).6   4
Sfc pres (in)...835 835 835 837 838 840 839 837 836 833 830 828

$$
Forecaster...Krentz
Requested by...Wes Bentley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705420.0/GSP



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