Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 261003
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR DCB1B...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
603 AM EDT THU MAR 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER AREAS OF FOG THIS MORNING...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SOUTH WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10
MPH WILL DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE
SOUTHWEST THEN WEST FRIDAY AS THE COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...AREAS OF FOG WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY. SIGNIFICANT FOG IS NOT
EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL AT 1000...INCREASING TO 3500-4000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 49.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........53     63     76     74
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCT    SCT    SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............69     77     81     82
RH..............84     67     56     53
20 FT WIND......S 3    S 6    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15
DISPERSION IDX..15     29     46     49
LVORI...........4      3      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     40

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....45 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........74     76     76     81     82     82
WEATHER COV.....SCT    SCT    SCT    SCT    ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............80     75     71     69     68     67
RH..............56     69     79     84     87     93
20 FT WIND......S 8    SW 7   SW 6   SW 7   SW 8   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     10     15     15
DISPERSION IDX..45     13     11     9      9      8
LVORI...........1      3      4      4      5      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     30     20     20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING LATE. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 20 TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 63.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........84     90     90     88     95     95
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........SCHC   SCHC   SCHC   SCHC   SCHC   SCHC
TEMP............66     65     69     73     75     75
RH..............97     97     87     73     64     58
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 9   SW 10  SW 13  W 14   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20     20     20
DISPERSION IDX..9      13     23     44     63     55
LVORI...........6      5      4      3      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     80     80     80

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...JASON DEPUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150326.DCB1B.01/JAX



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