Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FNUS71 KLWX 192054
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for Skyland Fire...Shenandoah National Park
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
354 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1800 EST on November 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will slowly build south of the region through
Monday before passing off the East Coast on Tuesday. Winds will
weaken this evening but remain in the 10-20 mph range before
increasing again on Tuesday ahead of the next storm system.
This cold front will cross the region Tuesday night, although
rain chances will be slim. High pressure will build back across
the region for the latter half of the week.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent), then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain or snow showers early in the evening.
CWR.................20 percent, decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......2500-4100 ft AGL, decreasing to 800-2100 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 28 mph, decreasing to 14 to 16
                    mph late.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (48900-97300 knot-ft),
                    decreasing to poor to good (9900-35000 knot-ft)
                    after midnight.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........61     55     50     44     37     32
WEATHER COV.....S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CWR.............20     10     10     10     10     10
TEMP............36     33     32     31     30     29
RH..............64     72     72     69     66     66
20 FT WIND......W 17   W 15   W 15   W 16   W 16   NW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.26     24     24     25     25     24
MIX HGT (FT)....4100   3200   3000   2500   1800   1100
MIXNG WIND......NW 28  W 26   W 26   NW 26  NW 23  NW 16
VRATE KT-FT/100097     74     70     57     35     15

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......700-2500 ft AGL, increasing to 1700-3000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (5600-36600 knot-ft).

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........31     13     8      9      9      8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CWR.............10     0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............27     29     35     42     46     47
RH..............71     66     49     39     37     35
20 FT WIND......W 13   W 9    W 7    W 8    SW 9   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     14     12     13     13     12
MIX HGT (FT)....700    700    1200   2500   3000   2400
MIXNG WIND......W 12   W 9    W 9    W 13   W 14   SW 14
VRATE KT-FT/10007      6      10     27     37     29

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......0-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........13     9      7      28     27     12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............42     37     36     35     35     33
RH..............43     52     54     59     59     66
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 10  SW 10  SW 8   SW 9   SW 11
20 FT WIND GUST.12     13     13     11     12     14
MIX HGT (FT)....800    BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
MIXNG WIND......SW 9   SW 7   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6
VRATE KT-FT/10006      0      0      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......0-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 14 mph, becoming south 17 to 22
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-31300 knot-ft).

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........34     35     17     36     40     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
TEMP............31     35     45     52     54     53
RH..............72     56     40     38     40     44
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 10  SW 12  SW 11  SW 12  SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.13     14     17     16     17     19
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 100    1200   1700   1400
MIXNG WIND......SW 7   SW 7   SW 10  S 17   S 21   S 20
VRATE KT-FT/10000      0      1      18     31     24

$$
Forecaster...Snyder
Requested by...IC Rudacille
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1718981.2/LWX



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.