Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 081149
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST HORSESHOE 3C...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
649 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON JULY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH TODAY...AND
WILL STALL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. SURROUNDING
THE FRONT...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN
THE FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH THIS WEEKEND
AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. IT
WILL HEAT UP AROUND HERE... AND THERE WILL BE LITTLE CHANCE FOR
RAIN. EARLY NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN...AND THIS WILL
ALLOW ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO VISIT WITH COOLER AIR.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........88 AT IGNITION...MAX 94.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 17 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4662 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....    TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............88  91  92  94  94  94
RH..............52  48  46  44  43  43
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  12  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.14  14  11  11  11  7
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   6   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.8   8   6   6   6   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  17  17  17  17  17
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 74.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                       AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............93  92  89  85  82  81  80  78  77  76  75  74
RH..............44  45  50  57  63  66  70  73  76  79  81  85
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   7   5   5   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  16  16  15  14  13  12  10  10  9   8   7
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50

$$
FORECASTER...58
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140708.EASTH.01/LZK






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