Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 131008
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Tackett Mountain BPRD...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
508 AM CDT Fri Oct 13 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on October 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will prevail across the area today. Light winds this
morning will become south around 5 mph this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Temperature.........66 at ignition...Max 82.
RH..................75 percent at ignition...Min 50 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 1 to 9 mph.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds southeast at 4 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming south
                    around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog in the
                    morning.
Dispersion..........6 increasing to 18 in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 4404 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  71  75  78  80  81  82  82
RH..............75  63  58  54  51  50  51  51
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   8   8   8   8   9
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 65.
RH..................Max 84 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph.
Stability class.....E.
20 Foot Winds.......Light winds.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Dispersion..........22 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3629 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............81  77  74  72  71  70  69  68  68  67  67  66
RH..............55  62  67  68  71  73  75  77  76  77  79  80
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   8   6   5   5   5   3   2   2   2
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Temperature.........Max 88.
RH..................Min 45 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 10 mph increasing to 13 to 15 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Stability class.....B.
20 Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Dispersion..........4 increasing to 37.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5810 ft MSL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  65  65  69  74  78  81  84  86  87  88  87
RH..............82  83  84  76  67  58  54  51  48  46  45  46
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.                        10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.                        10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   5   7   9   10  13  14  15  15  15
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...44
Requested by...Michael Haisten
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717123.4/LZK
.EMAIL mhaisten@fs.fed.us



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