Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 031943
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HANSEN...NPS- BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
343 PM EDT FRI JUL 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1526 EDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO STRETCH ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH A
LIGHT EAST WIND FLOW FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE INTERIOR. THESE
STORMS ARE CURRENTLY TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST OF THE FIRE BUT
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
ALTHOUGH THE WIND IS GENERALLY EASTERLY, THE DIRECTION COULD
FLUCTUATE SIGNIFICANTLY NEAR THE FIRE WITH THESE STORMS IN THE
AREA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
LAL.................4.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM
SKY (%).........79     72     67     67     51     51
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............87     83     80     77     75     75
RH..............63     73     80     89     96     97
20 FT WIND......E 4    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 3    NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   4000   2800   2800   1500   300
MIXNG WIND......SE 5   SE 3   E 5    E 5    E 5    NE 1
DISPERSION IDX..13     10     3      3      2      1
LVORI...........2      3      4      4      5      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     30     30     30     0
LAL.............4      4      3      3      3      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13...INCREASING TO 46 LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 30 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE SHAW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150703.HANSE.02/MFL


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