Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 312213
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FROG...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
313 PM PDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1411 PDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY. AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL INITIATE SOME THUNDERSTORMS WITH A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TO MOVE NORTH FROM SHASTA AND LASSEN
COUNTY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASE
TOMORROW AND A STRONGER DISTURBANCE SHOULD PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS
OVER A WIDER AREA. FIRE WEATHER WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA TOMORROW. HOT CONDITIONS WITH A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUES INTO SUNDAY AS WELL...WITH A FIRE WEATHER WATCH ISSUED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED
                    DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS
                    2 TO 4 MPH AROUND MID AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...SUZI JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150731.FROG_.02/MFR



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