Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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478
FNUS76 KMFR 011739
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR RACCOON 202...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1039 AM PDT SUN MAY 1 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON DATA FROM SELDOM RAWS AS
REQUESTED, BUT SINCE THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN AN
EASTERLY (CROSS LAKE) COMPONENT ALL DAY, HUMIDITIES AT THE PROJECT
ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHER THAN THE RAWS DUE TO PROXIMITY TO THE
LAKE. HUMIDITIES WILL CHANGE QUICKLY IF WIND DIRECTION CHANGES
UNEXPECTEDLY.

UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL MAINTAIN WARM DRY WEATHER TODAY. HOWEVER,
AS MENTIONED, HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER NEAR THE PROJECT DUE TO
PROXIMITY TO THE LAKE. TONIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY WITH GOOD HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES. MOISTURE ALOFT INCREASES TOMORROW AND A DISTURBANCE
WILL KICK OFF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CASCADES, SOME
OF WHICH MAY DRIFT DOWN OVER THE PROJECT IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE OFF THE LAKE TOMORROW, SO HUMIDITIES MAY
BE MUCH LOWER THAN TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH THROUGH NOON, THEN BECOMING
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST-SOUTHEAST 1-2 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDER-
                    STORM IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1-2 MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 2-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...JOSH FITZPATRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160501.RACCO.01/MFR



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