Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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208
FNUS76 KMFR 210437
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Cove...USFS, Modoc NF
National Weather Service Medford OR
937 PM PDT Sun Aug 20 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PDT on August 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Expect light east-southeast winds each morning Monday and Tuesday, which will
shift into the west-northwest Monday afternoon/evening, then west-southwest
Tuesday afternoon/evening. Southerly flow will develop in the mid-levels
through Monday. Moisture and instability increase Tuesday through Wednesday
with isolated thunderstorms expected to develop. After a brief cool down, it
warms back up this weekend.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning then becoming partly
                    cloudy. Patchy smoke.
Max temperature.....86-88.
Min humidity........13-16 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....East-southeast 0-1 mph in the morning becoming
                    west-northwest 1-3 mph in the afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........East-southeast 2-5 mph in the morning, becoming
                    west-northwest 5-8 mph in the afternoon. Gusts to
                    15 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL increasing to 13000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 mph in the morning becoming west 5-10
                    mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Patchy smoke.
Min temperature.....55-60.
Max humidity........49-56 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....West-northwest 1-3 mph early, then becoming
                    southeast 0-2 mph overnight.
WIND (20 FT)........West-northwest 5-8 mph early, then becoming
                    southeast 2-5 mph overnight. Gusts to 15 mph in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......12500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5-10 mph becoming southeast 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning, then mostly
                    cloudy with a chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon. Patchy smoke
                    through the day.
Max temperature.....80-86.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southeast 0-1 mph becoming southwest by late
                    morning, then west-southwest 1-4 mph in the
                    afternoon.
WIND (20 FT)........Southeast 2-5 mph becoming southwest by late
                    morning, then west-southwest 10-15 mph with
                    gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL early
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast becoming southwest 10-20 mph.
CWR.................11 percent.
LAL.................3.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Patchy smoke. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs 76 to
85. Southwest winds 2 to 4 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Patchy smoke. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 60. Highs 75 to 82. Southwest winds 2 to
4 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Highs 75 to 83. North
winds 1 to 2 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Amanda Shoaf
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714409.6/MFR



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