Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
000
FNUS72 KMHX 301149
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Soundside Rx...NC DPR
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
749 AM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will gradually push off the coast today with
northeast winds becoming east late in the afternoon. Clouds
will be increasing this afternoon as a strong low pressure
system approaches from the west. Heavy showers and possibly
strong thunderstorms will impact the area Friday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......Max 1600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 17 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 14604 mph-ft.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)         8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............29  32  39  43  45  49  51  53  56  58
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............50  51  52  53  54  54  55  55  55  55
RH.................83  80  74  71  69  71  69  69  69  69
20 FT wind dir.....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd.....12  13  12  12  12  11  11  12  12  13
20 FT wind gust....15  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)......0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd....17  17  15  13  12  10  9   8   8   8
Haines index.......3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1000..4   8   10  12  13  14  15  13  12  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers late.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 3219 mph-ft.
Haines index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............59  60  60  64  72  75  77  81  83  86  90  92
Weather cov........                                        SCH SCH
Weather type.......                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............54  53  53  52  52  53  53  53  53  53  53  53
RH.................71  74  74  77  80  80  83  86  89  93  96  96
20 FT wind dir.....E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd.....13  15  15  13  12  12  11  11  11  12  13  15
20 FT wind gust....20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)......1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd....9   12  13  13  13  13  13  13  14  15  17  18
Haines index.......3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1000..10  8   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Showers. Thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 16 to 17 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 1900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 37950 mph-ft.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............93     95     93     94     96     99
Weather cov........CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type.......RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov...........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Temp...............53     55     59     62     64     64
RH.................96     93     83     78     73     73
20 ft wind.........SE 16  SE 17  S 16   S 16   S 16   S 16
20 ft wind gust....20     20     20     20     20     20
Mix hgt (ft).......300    300    800    1400   1900   1700
Transport wind.....S 18   S 17   S 18   S 20   S 20   S 17
Haines index.......3      3      5      5      3      3
VRate mph-ft/1000..5      4      15     27     38     29

$$
Forecaster...Kennedy
Requested by...Joy Greenwood
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705529.0/MHX
.EMAIL joy.greenwood@ncparks.gov


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.