Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 021106
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR AREA 5...CHERRY POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
706 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
LINGERS TO THE WEST. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY, THEN LINGER NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD OVER THE AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTING TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............83  83  82  81  81  81  82  83
WEATHER COV.........ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT
TEMP................82  84  86  88  89  90  91  90
RH..................69  65  59  55  54  50  45  54
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   8   9   9   12  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  15  15  15  20  21  21
LVORI...............3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................40  52  58  63  68  73  79  86
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............83  84  84  85  86  87  88  89  89  89  87  86
WEATHER COV.........SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
TEMP................88  84  82  80  80  79  78  78  77  76  76  76
RH..................57  65  72  77  77  79  82  82  85  87  87  87
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......13  13  11  11  11  10  10  9   9   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....22  21  20  18  18  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
LVORI...............1   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.................87  39  40  39  30  22  20  19  19  18  18  18
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 TO 35
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............85  84  83  84  85  86  87  88  89  89  88  88
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
TEMP................76  77  78  80  82  84  84  85  85  85  85  84
RH..................87  85  82  77  72  67  67  65  65  65  65  67
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   6   6   7   7   8   10  13  13  13  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  15  15  25  25  25  20  18
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................17  29  33  46  60  73  76  78  81  87  95  99
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...ELARDO
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MANGUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150702.AREA5.01/MHX


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