Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 241003
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MIC04...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
503 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LIGHT SOUTHERLY COMPONENT OF MIXED LAYER FLOW IS
FORECAST AS HIGH PRESSURE IS POSITIONED FROM THE SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC
TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. LOWEST AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
TODAY EXPECTED TO SINK TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30%. FAIR DAILY DISPERSION
TODAY IS FORECAST TO LIFT TO GOOD LEVELS WEDNESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE IN A FEW
AREAS TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES IN FOG WILL TYPICALLY BE REDUCED TO 3 TO
5 MILES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6100-6300 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 39.
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........26     18     10     8      8
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............66     83     89     91     91
RH................75     43     29     26     29
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     WSW    S      SSE    S
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      5      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST...                     13
MIX HGT (FT)......1600   4300   5200   5900   6300
MIX HGT (M).......490    1310   1580   1800   1920
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      SE     SE     SE     SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      5      5      5      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      2      2      2      2
DISPERSION........7      27     31     31     33
LVORI.............4      2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 1.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 8.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........8      7      5      3      4      13
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............86     77     68     64     62     61
RH................37     56     78     90     93     93
20 FT WIND DIR....S      SSW    SSW    SSW    S      SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      3      2      0      0      1
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......4000   2000   300    300    300    300
MIX HGT (M).......1220   610    90     90     90     90
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW    SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      9      5      3      3      3
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      2      1      1      1
DISPERSION........42     4      2      2      2      1
LVORI.............1      3      4      6      6      7
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5300-5400 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 60.
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........20     22     22     22     23     25
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............60     64     73     81     87     89
RH................100    90     68     49     38     35
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    E      SE     SSE    SSE    S
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      4      5      5      6
20 FT WIND GUST...                                   13
MIX HGT (FT)......300    1000   2600   4200   5100   5400
MIX HGT (M).......90     300    790    1280   1550   1650
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    ESE    SE     SE     SSE    S
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      6      10     10     10     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      3      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........1      8      33     51     60     60
LVORI.............10     5      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...MARY OWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160524.MIC04.01/MOB



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