Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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417
FNUS74 KMOB 161252
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for RKC03A...USFS Conecuh NF
National Weather Service Mobile AL
652 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on January 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...An approaching cold front will move southeast
across the area today, bringing moderate northerly winds in
the mixing layer. Light snow will accompany the front tonight,
but snowfall total are expected to be less than an inch.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 3200 ft AGL by noon.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph shifting to the west
                    late morning, then becoming north
                    around 15 mph by late afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 35.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  65  71  73  77  82  86  90
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  52  54  53  51  50  47  45
RH..............55  53  50  51  52  53  56  60
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.4 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.4 2.4
Transp wind dir.S   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   9   10  12  14  16
Dispersion idx..14  22  24  24  24  25  30  35
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 21.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 17 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....23.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........92  93  94  95  96  97  97  92  83  74  64  55
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  40  38  36  34  33  31  30  28  27  25  24
RH..............65  66  68  69  70  71  72  71  69  68  68  68
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  11  11  11  11  10  9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.17  18  18  18  18  20  20  20  21  21  20  20
Dispersion idx..20  21  22  22  22  23  24  24  25  26  23  22
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 36.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1800-3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....47 increasing to 59 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 70 in the afternoon decreasing to
                    62 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  38  14  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............22  21  22  23  26  29  32  34  36  36  34  31
RH..............68  65  57  50  42  36  31  29  27  27  30  36
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  10  11  11  10  9   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.18  18  20  20  20  21  21  21  21  20  17  14
Dispersion idx..43  47  49  51  55  59  63  68  72  72  72  62
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Mary Owen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800407.0/MOB
.EMAIL maowen@fs.fed.us



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