202
FNUS74 KMOB 121227
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin I-16...Eglin AFB
National Weather Service Mobile AL
727 AM CDT Sun May 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated showers today advance eastward and look to
be confined to the morning hours. The more unsettled weather
pattern looks to evolve into the day Monday with showers becoming
likely with a few storms mixed in as well. Mixed layer south to
southeast flow increases Monday. Dispersion levels range from fair
to generally good today and for Monday, generally good.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog development is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
                    8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 8 to
                    9 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 37 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  51  47  44  43  33  38  40  55  72
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  71  76  79  82  84  84  84  84  82
RH..............68  57  45  41  35  34  36  36  38  41
20 FT wind dir..NE  ENE E   E   E   E   ESE SE  SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   9   9   10  10  9   10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  12          12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.1 2.4 3.4 4.5 5.0 5.5 4.6 4.2 4.2
Transp wind dir.ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ESE ESE SE
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  9   8   8   8   9   9   8
Dispersion idx..14  17  26  35  36  38  39  34  28  28
LVORI...........3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east 5
                    to 6 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the east 5 to
                    8 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 8.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........72  79  85  79  82  81  76  84  76  67  62  63
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............80  78  76  73  73  72  72  71  69  69  68  67
RH..............44  50  56  66  68  71  71  73  78  78  81  81
20 FT wind dir..S   SSE S   SSE SE  ESE E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  8   7   7   7       7   7   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SE  SSE SE  ESE E   ESE E   ESE E   E
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   7   7   8   8
Dispersion idx..28  6   7   7   6   6   6   5   7   8   9   10
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 2 until 1600, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 13 mph shifting to the south 13
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the late
                    morning and early afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 17 mph shifting to the south 20
                    to 22 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 46.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  51  65  68  79  66  70  76  80  83  87  85
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  60  60  60  60  60  60  80  80  80  80  80
LAL.............1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
Temp............67  68  71  76  78  81  82  81  81  81  79  78
RH..............81  81  76  66  62  60  61  65  67  67  74  77
20 FT wind dir..E   E   ESE ESE ESE SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   10  12  12  14  15  16  17  17  17  16  15
20 FT wind gust.10  13  14  16  18  21  23  24  23  22  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.6 3.3 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   ESE SE  SE  SSE S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   10  14  15  17  20  20  21  22  22  22  20
Dispersion idx..11  15  25  32  39  44  46  47  49  47  42  42
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...10
Requested by...Nathan Price
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413818.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan.price@us.af.mil