Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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491
FNUS74 KMOB 161333
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN RX I-21...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
733 AM CST MON JAN 16 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM AND MOIST SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY WITH GENERALLY GOOD DAILY DISPERSIONS.
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS WELL
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3800 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...61-579 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 823-1158 METERS
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 METERS/SECOND INCREASING TO 6
                    TO 8 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54  54  53  53  53  54  56  59  61  64
WEATHER COV.....PTY             SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....FOG             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............64  67  70  73  75  76  76  75  72  69
RH..............79  73  68  64  62  60  62  64  71  81
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   10  11  11  11  10  9   9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.9 2.9 3.8 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.7 2.7
MIX HGT (M).....0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   12  14  15  16  17  17  16  15  13
TRANS WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANS SPD (M/S).4   5   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   6
DISPERSION IDX..11  16  29  39  46  47  44  43  38  32
LVORI...........4   3   3   2   2   1   2   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-305 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............7.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65  65
WEATHER COV.....                        PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....                        FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............66  64  62  62  61  62  62  61  61  60  59  59
RH..............90  97  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
MIX HGT (M).....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   7
TRANS WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE
TRANS SPD (M/S).5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
DISPERSION IDX..11  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   8   8   8
LVORI...........5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-610 METERS AGL INCREASING TO 762-975 METERS
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 7 METERS/SECOND.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 43 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    32 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........65  65  65  64  64  63  63  64  65  67  68  69
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............61  63  66  68  70  71  73  74  75  74  73  70
RH..............100 97  87  84  78  76  71  69  66  69  73  81
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2
MIX HGT (M).....0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   8   10  13  14  14  15  15  14  14  12  9
TRANS WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S
TRANS SPD (M/S).3   4   4   6   6   6   7   7   6   6   5   4
DISPERSION IDX..11  12  16  20  28  34  40  40  43  43  38  32
LVORI...........6   5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700440.0/MOB
.EMAIL BRETT.WILLIAMS.4@US.AF.MIL



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