Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
FNUS74 KMOB 301216
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
716 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 CDT ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH(75+)DISPERSIONS AROUND 79 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...A LIGHT TO AT TIMES MODERATE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH FLOW IN
THE MIXING LAYER IS EXPECTED. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN HIGH. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL CREATE A DEEP MIXING
LAYER OVER MAINLY SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
THE RESULT IS AFTERNOON DISPERSION RISING ABOVE 75 OVER THESE AREAS
TODAY. A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG DEVELOPMENT LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT
THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 4700 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 12 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 77 EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 49 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........39     39     39     45     45
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............72     78     83     86     86
RH................86     71     59     54     56
20 FT WIND DIR....E      ESE    ESE    S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....3      5      5      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    3700   5700   7000   4700
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE     SE     SE     SSE    S
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      12     12     13     12
DISPERSION........1      50     60     77     59
LVORI.............6      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............20     20     20     20     20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....59 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 9.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........45     38     38     38     41     41
WEATHER COV.......S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............83     80     76     73     70     70
RH................62     70     80     90     96     98
20 FT WIND DIR....S      SSW    WSW    WSW    W      NNW
20 FT WIND SPD....6      5      3      3      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......3700   2600   500    400    300    100
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      SSW    SW     SW     SW     W
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     8      7      7      5      5
DISPERSION........39     4      3      3      3      2
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      8      9
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............20     10     10     10     10     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........41     48     48     48     66     66
WEATHER COV.......       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............70     75     85     89     89     88
RH................98     82     59     52     50     52
20 FT WIND DIR....NNW    N      E      E      S      SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      2      5      5      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......100    200    2900   4300   5700   4200
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      NNW    S      S      S      SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      8      8      10     10
DISPERSION........2      2      26     34     42     47
LVORI.............9      5      2      2      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............10     30     30     30     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150530.JACKS.01/MOB



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.