Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 231136
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for DE-PHR Fowler Road...USFWS
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
736 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build across the east coast today, then shift
offshore tonight. A warm front will lift to our northwest Friday,
then a backdoor cold front pushes through the area Saturday. This
front is forecast to stall near the southern portions of the area
through Sunday, but may return northward as a warm front Monday. A
couple of low pressure systems are forecast move across the east
coast through early next week.

Transport winds are expected to drop below 8 mph by mid afternoon
(expecting this to occur between 2 and 5 PM EDT), becoming light
and variable.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind shift..........Becoming light and variable by mid afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 mph...becoming
                    southwest late.
Mixing height.......2400-4200 ft AGL...increasing to 4100-4500 ft
                    AGL late.
Transport Winds.....Northerly around 10 mph through the morning...
                    becoming westerly 5 to 10 mph by early afternoon
                    ...becoming light and variable by late afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   1   1   1   3   5   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............31  33  35  36  38  38  39  40
RH..............43  38  34  31  28  29  31  31
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind shift..........light and variable through the overnight hours
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light...then becoming south
                    5 to 6 mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......1300-2800 ft AGL...decreasing to 0 ft AGL early
                    in the evening.
Transport Winds.....South southeasterly at 5 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  12  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  25  29  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............38  36  34  33  32  31  31  31  31  32  32  33
RH..............35  42  47  51  55  60  63  66  69  69  70  70
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10      5   5   5   5   5           10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind shift..........none expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30
                    mph.
Mixing height.......0-1700 ft AGL...increasing to 1600-2800 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport Winds.....Southwesterly at 30 to 40 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  43  48  55  62  68  73  78  83  80  76  73
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  20  20  10  10  10
Temp............33  34  34  38  42  46  48  50  52  53  54  55
RH..............71  71  72  64  58  52  50  47  46  46  46  46
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   12  13  14  15  15  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  20  20  25  25  30  30  30  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.1 1.6

$$
Forecaster...Johnson
Requested by...John Ashcraft
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704930.0/PHI
.EMAIL john_ashcraft@fws


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