Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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000
FNUS71 KRNK 232207
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
607 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD THURSDAY...WHICH WILL RESULT IN
DIMINISHING WINDS FROM WHAT WAS SEEN ON WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL ALSO
BECOME MORE VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AND TEND TO COME AROUND TO THE
SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH BY AFTERNOON...BUT SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
5 MPH OR LESS. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL FALL INTO CRITICAL LEVELS
AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON...NAMELY INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE.

THE NEXT...CHANCE...OF RAIN IS FRIDAY WHEN A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
MOVE FAIRLY RAPIDLY THROUGH THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST. SIMILAR TO
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE OF TUESDAY...RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SPOTTY AND OVERALL LIGHT...AVERAGING 1/4 INCH OR LESS. DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND BEFORE A DEEP SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
MOVES INTO AND LINGERS ACROSS THE REGION FOR SEVERAL DAYS BRINGING RAIN
AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...BEGINNING MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................38 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    5 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST DURING THE
                    LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON AND INCREASING TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............21  25  29  31  32  32  33  33  33  35  36  37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................34  34  38  43  48  53  57  61  65  68  71  71
RH..................82  83  69  57  46  38  32  28  25  22  21  21
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT WIND SPD......1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 1.2 2.2 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.2 5.5 5.7 5.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   5   2   1   1   2   5   7   9   9   10
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...BEASLEY
REQUESTED BY...TODD CAUDILL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.MILLC.01/RNK



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