Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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340
FNUS74 KSJT 072148
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BILLER FIRE...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
348 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1534 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT/WIND SHIFT IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE FIRE
LOCATION AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY AT 15 TO 25
MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. A
SECONDARY WIND SHIFT/COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED ALONG A ROBERT LEE TO
COLEMAN LINE AND WILL REACH THE FIRE LOCATION AROUND 5 PM...WITH
WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER THIS FEATURE CROSSES THE REGION.
OBSERVATIONS AT 3:30 PM INDICATED HUMIDITY VALUES ARE IN THE 10
TO 15 PERCENT RANGE. THESE VALUES WILL INCREASE TO 40 PERCENT
AROUND 9 PM...WITH A MAXIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 60 PERCENT
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. FOR MONDAY...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE...WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 15 TO 20
PERCENT AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5100 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
LAL.................1.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  55  50  47  44  42  40  38  36  35  34  32
RH..............20  29  36  43  49  53  57  59  61  59  58  61
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANS WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW
TRANS WIND SPD..14  15  15  16  16  16  15  15  15  14  14  14
VENT CAT........POORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOOR
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   4   4   4

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (47200 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
LAL.................1.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............31  30  31  36  42  47  52  55  58  59  59  58
RH..............61  63  58  47  34  25  19  17  16  15  17  18
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  12  10  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.5 3.4 2.3
TRANS WIND DIR..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW
TRANS WIND SPD..15  16  18  20  22  23  23  22  21  20  17  16
VENT CAT........POORPOORPOORPOORFAIRFAIRGOODGOODGOODGOODFAIRPOOR
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
LAL.................1.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  48  44  42  40  38  37  35  34  33  32  31
RH..............24  29  35  37  41  46  48  52  56  58  61  63
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANS WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
TRANS WIND SPD..14  13  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   8   8   8
VENT CAT........POORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOOR
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
LAL.................1.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............30  29  30  37  45  52  58  63  66  68  68  67
RH..............66  72  69  54  40  31  25  21  19  19  19  20
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.9 3.6 2.4
TRANS WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANS WIND SPD..9   10  12  12  13  14  14  14  14  13  12  12
VENT CAT........POORPOORPOORPOORPOORPOORFAIRFAIRFAIRFAIRPOORPOOR
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4

$$

FORECASTER...DOLL
REQUESTED BY...TEXAS A M FOREST SERVICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160207.BILLE.01/SJT



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