Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS72 KTAE 011230
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR M-1...EGLIN WILDLAND FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
830 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 CDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8833.

.DISCUSSION...HUMID CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE AVERAGE RAIN CHANCES
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........83 AT IGNITION...MAX 91.
RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL
                    AROUND MIDDAY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 44.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP............82     85     87     90     89
RH..............85     72     68     62     64
20 FT WIND......NE 3   E 2    SE 2   S 2    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
TRANSPORT WINDS.E 3    SE 4   CALM   S 3    S 8

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 75.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 2.

TIME (CDT)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............88     82     80     79     78     77
RH..............68     82     88     91     94     94
20 FT WIND......S 3    W 2    W 2    NW 1   NE 1   NE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
TRANSPORT WINDS.S 9    SW 11  W 7    W 4    W 4    NW 4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94.
RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 44.

TIME (CDT)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............76     77     84     89     92     94
RH..............97     90     74     61     54     51
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 2    NE 3   NE 3   E 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
TRANSPORT WINDS.N 4    N 5    NE 5   N 4    NW 3   NW 3

$$
FORECASTER...MARK WOOL
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150801.M1___.01/TAE



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