Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Northeast RFC

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AGUS71 KTAR 201557
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1155 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLED OVER NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS LEADING TO DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS.
:
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO PUSH OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THIS
AFTERNOON. A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING MILD AND
PROGRESSIVELY MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.
:
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE GATHERING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND
SOUTHEASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL LIFT NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS. A PIECE OF THIS MOISTURE AND ENERGY WILL BRING
SHOWERS TO SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY MORNING.
MEANWHILE A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION
AND BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
AS IT CROSSES NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ON
MONDAY.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE FORECAST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 0.
25 TO 1.00 INCH ACROSS WESTERN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE
AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. FORECAST AMOUNTS ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 0.25 INCH OR LESS.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
RIVER LEVELS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE GENERALLY IN
RECESSION OR HOLDING AT STEADY LEVELS. RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL CAUSE
SOME MINOR RISES ALONG AREA RIVERS.  A COUPLE OF THE SMALLER
RIVERS COULD HAVE A 2 FOOT RISE BUT THE LARGER RIVERS WILL RISE
LESS THAN A FOOT IF AT ALL.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE RUNNING AT
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR MID-SEPTEMBER.  HOWEVER
, ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK, RIVER FLOWS
ARE MOSTLY BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                NORM BINGHAM




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