Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Northeast RFC

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AGUS71 KTAR 011718
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
118 PM EDT MON SEP 01 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PUSHED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
OVERNIGHT. THIS SYSTEM BROUGHT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. BASIN AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION TOTALS GENERALLY RANGED FROM 0.10 TO 1.00 INCH.
THERE WERE SOME HIGHER POINT TOTALS FROM 1.50 TO 2 INCHES RECORDED
.
:
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER MOST OF THE REGION TODAY. HOWEVER
LEFTOVER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL HELP BRING WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRIMARILY IN WESTERN AND SOUTHERN NEW
YORK STATE...SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND MAINE.
:
A COLD FRONT OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL MOVE ACROSS NEW YORK
AND NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ESPECIALLY
ACROSS WESTERN NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE PRECIPITATION FORECAST TOTALS THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING RANGE FROM 0.25 TO 1.00 INCH WITH SOME LOCALLY
HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE
AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. ELSEWHERE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK
AND SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND...48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION FORECAST AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 0.25 INCH OR LESS.
:
TOP TEN 24 HOUR POINT TOTALS ACROSS THE REGION ENDING 8AM THIS
MONDAY MORNING...
:
LOCATION                       AMOUNT IN INCHES
:
WORCESTER MASSACHUSETTS              2.41
MALONE NEW YORK                      1.85
BROOKFIELD 0.9 WSW NEW HAMPSHIRE     1.82
WAKEFIELD NEW HAMPSHIRE              1.69
WALLINGFORD CONNECTICUT              1.60
PHIPPSBURG MAINE                     1.58
DANBURY 2.2 ESE NEW HAMPSHIRE        1.54
LACONIA NEW HAMPSHIRE                1.51
LACONIA 7.9E NEW HAMPSHIRE           1.46
LAKE WINNISQUAM NEW HAMPSHIRE        1.44
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR RIVER RISES OF 2 FEET OR LESS WERE SEEN ON AREA RIVERS
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. FLUCTUATIONS DUE TO POWER GENERATION...
RESERVOIR REGULATION AND TIDAL VARIATION WERE ALSO OBSERVED.
:
GENERALLY MINOR ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED FROM THE RAINFALL
FORECAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE
GREATER RISES...ESPECIALLY IN FLASHY HEADWATER AND URBANIZED RIVER
BASINS.
:
RIVER FLOWS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SEVEN STATE REGION OF NEW ENGLAND
AND NEW YORK ARE RUNNING NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY SEPTEMBER.
FLOWS IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK ARE
RUNNING BELOW TO MUCH BELOW SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS. RIVER FLOWS
ARE LOWEST ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...RHODE ISLAND AND
SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT WHERE MANY GAUGED RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE
PASSING FLOWS IN THE LOWEST 10 PERCENT OF THE HISTORICAL RECORD
FOR SEPTEMBER 1ST.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                JEFF OUELLET




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