High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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059
FZPN03 KNHC 291538
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU SEP 29 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 16.7N 139.7W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
29 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM NE
AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER
OF FORECAST WATERS FROM 14N TO 19N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ULIKA NEAR 17.8N 141.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN
60 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ULIKA NEAR 18.0N
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ROSLYN NEAR 23.5N 115.5W 1009 MB AT 1500
UTC SEP 29 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND SE
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 24.4N
117.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...LOW DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
14.5N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
14N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
13.5N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N101W TO 18N107W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL AND SE WIND WAVES.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 103W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 02N TO 05.5N BETWEEN 79.5W AND 84W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU SEP 29...

.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120
NM NE SEMICIRCLE.

.ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 20N
BETWEEN 101W AND 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 20N TO
24.5N E OF 109W TO COAST OF MEXICO.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES 1010 MB NEAR 09N74.5W TO
12N106W TO 09N120W TO LOW PRES 1011 MB NEAR 13N133.5W. ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN
60 NM N AND 210 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 97W AND 115W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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