High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 010253
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT AUG 01 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 13.2N 136.1W 970 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 01
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...270 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.  ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 150 NM SW  SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER EPAC FROM 8N TO 20N BETWEEN 126W AND
138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 14.3N 141.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
270 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT
...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
300 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT. REMAINDER EPAC FROM 10N TO 23N W OF 132W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 15.8N 145.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS
TO 32 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 15N TO 23N W OF 135W WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GUILLERMO NEAR 17.0N 147.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 19.0N 150.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO NEAR 20.5N 153.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF LINE FROM 03.4S95W TO 02N120W TO 04N130W TO 03.4S140W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S85W TO 05N110W TO 00N130W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S81W TO 01S90W TO 04N94W TO
06N113W TO 03.4S130W...EXCEPT N LEE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0230 UTC SAT AUG 01...

.HURRICANE GUILLERMO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM IN W AND
WITHIN 60 NM IN E SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLES.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN AN AREA FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN
128W AND 133W.

.SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO
FROM 22N TO 25N EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W S OF 17N.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 10N TO 13N WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF WAVE AXIS.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 112W/113W FROM 05N TO 13N. CONVECTION
DESCRIBED BELOW ASSOCIATED WITH MONSOON TROUGH.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 07N93W TO 09N102W TO 07N110W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS
BETWEEN 102W AND 110W...AND WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 98W.

.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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