Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 201224
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
824 AM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

VALID 00Z MON APR 21 2014 - 00Z MON APR 28 2014


STILL NO CHANGE FROM THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS OF ASSESSMENTS FOR THE
HAWAI`IN WEATHER DURING THE NEXT WEEK. ESSENTIALLY UNDISTURBED
TRADE WINDS ARE INDICATED BY THE CONSISTENT EUROPEAN CENTRE
ENSEMBLE MEAN ACROSS HAWAI`I FOR THE NEXT WEEK. THOUGH THE
DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE IS MODEST AT BEST, THERE APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH
AVAILABLE FOR OCCASIONAL WINDWARD SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE ISLAND
CHAIN. SEVEN-DAY QPF FROM THE 00Z/20 27-KM ECMWF RANGES ROUGHLY
FROM ONE-HALF TO SEVERAL INCHES.  THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE
ZONE SHOULD REMAIN ON THE EQUATORIAL SIDE OF 10N, WITH THE POLAR
JET MOSTLY CONTAINED ALONG 40N.


CISCO

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