River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 060222
RVFGRN
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:22pm EST Thursday, March 5, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Alvaton - Drakes Creek - LMK
: Zero Datum 443.07 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Warren County, KY
: Record River Stage     42.1 ft
: Major River Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   29.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      22.0 ft
: Action River Stage     20.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /   8.4 /   8.4 /   9.4
:     Mar 05   /  15.5 /  19.9 /  22.2 /  22.4
:     Mar 06   /  20.3
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 20.1 ft at 645pm EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER ALVK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 06 :         /  18.7 /  17.1 /  16.0
.E2 : Mar 07 : /  14.9 /  14.2 /  13.3 /  12.4
.E3 : Mar 08 : /  11.7 /  11.0 /  10.4 /   9.9
.E4 : Mar 09 : /   9.6 /   9.8 /  10.4 /  11.0
.E5 : Mar 10 : /  11.6 /  11.7 /  11.4 /  10.8
.E6 : Mar 11 : /  10.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.07 /  0.27 /  0.33 /  0.62
:     Mar 05   /  0.48 /  0.19 /  0.26 /  0.13
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 06           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 08   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   3.0 /   3.9 /   9.2
:     Mar 04   /  15.7 /  15.5 /  11.4 /   8.2
:     Mar 05   /   3.6 /  -1.4 /  -5.3 /  -6.1
:     Mar 06   /  -4.1 / -12.8 / -17.9 / -12.2
:     Mar 07   /  -4.4 /  -8.1 /  -9.3 /  -3.6
:     Mar 08   /   3.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Munfordville - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 451.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Hart County, KY
: Record River Stage     57.7 ft
: Major River Stage      57.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      28.0 ft
: Action River Stage     26.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR MFVK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   32.9
: Crest near   32.9 ft around 7AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
: Fall below flood level around 4AM EST on Sat, Mar 7
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  14.4 /  14.5 /  16.3
:     Mar 05   /  21.3 /  25.6 /  28.5 /  30.5
:     Mar 06   /  31.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 31.8 ft at 700pm EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER MFVK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 06 :         /  32.7 /  32.9 /  32.3
.E2 : Mar 07 : /  31.2 /  29.3 /  26.9 /  24.0
.E3 : Mar 08 : /  21.2 /  18.6 /  16.2 /  13.9
.E4 : Mar 09 : /  12.1 /  11.1 /  10.8 /  10.9
.E5 : Mar 10 : /  11.4 /  12.0 /  12.6 /  13.1
.E6 : Mar 11 : /  13.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.02 /  0.34 /  0.53 /  1.09
:     Mar 05   /  0.42 /  0.41 /  0.37 /  0.14
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 06           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 08   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   0.5 /   1.5 /   7.7
:     Mar 04   /  15.3 /  15.0 /   9.3 /   7.5
:     Mar 05   /   3.4 /  -1.1 /  -5.3 /  -6.5
:     Mar 06   /  -4.3 / -13.1 / -19.6 / -14.1
:     Mar 07   /  -6.5 / -10.3 / -11.6 /  -5.1
:     Mar 08   /   2.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Brownsville - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 413.03 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Edmonson County, KY
: Record River Stage     44.9 ft
: Major River Stage      41.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   32.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      18.0 ft
: Action River Stage     16.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR BRNK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:   21.5
: Crest near   21.5 ft around 1PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
: Fall below flood level around 1AM EST on Sun, Mar 8
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  13.2 /  13.9 /  15.4
:     Mar 05   /  16.5 /  17.6 /  18.6 /  19.6
:     Mar 06   /  20.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 20.5 ft at 645pm EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER BRNK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 06 :         /  21.1 /  21.5 /  21.5
.E2 : Mar 07 : /  21.3 /  20.8 /  20.1 /  19.4
.E3 : Mar 08 : /  18.7 /  18.0 /  17.2 /  16.6
.E4 : Mar 09 : /  16.1 /  15.6 /  15.3 /  15.2
.E5 : Mar 10 : /  15.3 /  15.6 /  15.5 /  15.2
.E6 : Mar 11 : /  14.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.05 /  0.34 /  0.70 /  0.85
:     Mar 05   /  0.50 /  0.44 /  0.32 /  0.11
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 06           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 08   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   1.2 /   1.9 /   8.1
:     Mar 04   /  15.6 /  15.2 /   9.0 /   7.3
:     Mar 05   /   3.1 /  -1.7 /  -5.4 /  -6.3
:     Mar 06   /  -4.2 / -12.6 / -19.6 / -14.1
:     Mar 07   /  -6.2 / -10.1 / -11.7 /  -5.3
:     Mar 08   /   2.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Woodbury - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Butler County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     58.9 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      48.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      33.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     31.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR WDBK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFFX :crest:   36.7
: Crest near   36.7 ft around 1PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
: Fall below flood level around 7PM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  21.1E/  22.5E/  26.5E
:     Mar 05   /  30.0E/  32.1E/  33.4E/  34.2E
:     Mar 06   /  34.8E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage MISSING
:
.ER WDBK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 06 :         /  36.0 /  36.5 /  36.7
.E2 : Mar 07 : /  36.6 /  36.4 /  36.2 /  35.9
.E3 : Mar 08 : /  35.6 /  35.2 /  34.7 /  34.0
.E4 : Mar 09 : /  32.9 /  31.6 /  30.0 /  28.5
.E5 : Mar 10 : /  27.7 /  27.4 /  27.6 /  27.9
.E6 : Mar 11 : /  27.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.06 /  0.30 /  0.81 /  0.57
:     Mar 05   /  0.59 /  0.58 /  0.31 /  0.09
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 06           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 08   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   3.1 /   2.9 /   8.6
:     Mar 04   /  16.3 /  15.0 /   8.8 /   6.5
:     Mar 05   /   2.0 /  -3.4 /  -6.3 /  -6.5
:     Mar 06   /  -4.3 / -14.1 / -20.1 / -14.3
:     Mar 07   /  -5.7 /  -9.6 / -11.1 /  -4.7
:     Mar 08   /   2.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Rochester Ferry - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 372.6 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Ohio County, KY
: Record River Stage     41.6 ft
: Major River Stage      30.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   25.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR RCHK2 20150308 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   20.7
: Crest near   20.7 ft around 8AM EDT on Sun, Mar 8
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  13.8E/  14.8 /  16.0E
:     Mar 05   /  16.3E/  17.3E/  18.2 /  18.6E
:     Mar 06   /  19.0
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 19.0 ft at 641pm EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER RCHK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 06 :         /  19.3 /  19.5 /  19.8
.E2 : Mar 07 : /  20.0 /  20.3 /  20.4 /  20.6
.E3 : Mar 08 : /  20.6 /  20.7 /  20.7 /  20.7
.E4 : Mar 09 : /  20.6 /  20.5 /  20.3 /  20.0
.E5 : Mar 10 : /  19.7 /  19.4 /  19.0 /  18.8
.E6 : Mar 11 : /  18.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.00 /  0.31 /  1.08 /  0.59
:     Mar 05   /  0.59 /  0.84 /  0.29 /  0.08
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 06           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 08   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   2.1 /   2.1 /   7.3
:     Mar 04   /  16.7 /  13.9 /   7.8 /   5.1
:     Mar 05   /   0.5 /  -4.9 /  -7.0 /  -6.7
:     Mar 06   /  -4.4 / -15.1 / -21.2 / -15.2
:     Mar 07   /  -6.0 / -10.0 / -11.3 /  -4.5
:     Mar 08   /   2.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Paradise - Green River - PAH
: Zero Datum 363.19 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Muhlenberg County, KY
: Record River Stage    403.7 ft
: Major River Stage     400.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage  386.0 ft
: Flood River Stage     380.0 ft
: Action River Stage    378.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR PRDK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:  386.4
: Crest near  386.4 ft around 1PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           / 375.5 / 376.8 / 379.1
:     Mar 05   / 381.4 / 383.2 / 384.3 / 385.2
:     Mar 06   / 385.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 385.8 ft at 715pm EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER PRDK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 06 :         / 386.1 / 386.4 / 386.4
.E2 : Mar 07 : / 386.3 / 386.2 / 386.2 / 386.3
.E3 : Mar 08 : / 386.2 / 386.2 / 386.1 / 386.0
.E4 : Mar 09 : / 385.9 / 385.6 / 385.4 / 385.1
.E5 : Mar 10 : / 384.7 / 384.3 / 384.0 / 383.7
.E6 : Mar 11 : / 383.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.02 /  0.22 /  0.99 /  0.61
:     Mar 05   /  0.61 /  0.69 /  0.29 /  0.08
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 06           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 08   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   1.6 /   2.3 /   7.5
:     Mar 04   /  16.7 /  14.7 /   8.0 /   5.1
:     Mar 05   /   0.2 /  -5.1 /  -7.4 /  -6.9
:     Mar 06   /  -4.6 / -14.1 / -20.8 / -15.5
:     Mar 07   /  -5.5 /  -8.7 / -10.5 /  -4.7
:     Mar 08   /   3.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Dundee - Rough River - LMK
: Zero Datum 393.18 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Ohio County, KY
: Record River Stage     31.8 ft
: Major River Stage      30.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   28.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      25.0 ft
: Action River Stage     23.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Fall below flood level around 8AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  14.2 /  20.8 /  24.1
:     Mar 05   /  25.6 /  26.3 /  26.7 /  26.9
:     Mar 06   /  26.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 26.9 ft at 645pm EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER DUNK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 06 :         /  26.7 /  25.5 /  23.3
.E2 : Mar 07 : /  20.8 /  19.5 /  18.3 /  17.1
.E3 : Mar 08 : /  16.8 /  16.2 /  15.7 /  15.3
.E4 : Mar 09 : /  14.9 /  14.9 /  15.8 /  17.0
.E5 : Mar 10 : /  18.0 /  19.2 /  20.4 /  21.5
.E6 : Mar 11 : /  22.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.00 /  0.45 /  1.04 /  0.61
:     Mar 05   /  0.47 /  0.52 /  0.37 /  0.07
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 06           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 08   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   1.8 /   1.5 /   6.4
:     Mar 04   /  15.3 /  12.0 /   6.8 /   4.1
:     Mar 05   /  -0.4 /  -5.5 /  -7.5 /  -6.8
:     Mar 06   /  -4.3 / -17.3 / -24.3 / -17.3
:     Mar 07   /  -7.5 / -11.3 / -12.5 /  -5.4
:     Mar 08   /   1.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Calhoun - Green River - PAH
: Zero Datum 353.95 ft (NGVD 1929)
: McLean County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     43.8 ft
: Major Pool Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   26.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood pool stage around 5AM EST on Sat, Mar 7
.AR CALK2 20150310 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH00/HPIFFX :crest:   25.0
: Crest near   25.0 ft around 8PM EDT on Mon, Mar 9
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  15.6 /  16.4 /  17.6
:     Mar 05   /  18.9 /  19.9 /  20.6 /  21.2
:     Mar 06   /  21.7
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 21.7 ft at 700pm EST on Thu, Mar 5
:
.ER CALK2 20150306 Z DC201503060222/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 06 :         /  22.0 /  22.3 /  22.5
.E2 : Mar 07 : /  22.6 /  22.8 /  23.1 /  23.5
.E3 : Mar 08 : /  23.8 /  24.1 /  24.3 /  24.5
.E4 : Mar 09 : /  24.7 /  24.8 /  24.9 /  25.0
.E5 : Mar 10 : /  25.0 /  25.0 /  24.8 /  24.7
.E6 : Mar 11 : /  24.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.00 /  0.64 /  0.91 /  0.64
:     Mar 05   /  0.30 /  0.51 /  0.24 /  0.05
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 06           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 07   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 08   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 03           /   2.7 /   2.6 /   6.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.8 /  11.4 /   6.4 /   2.7
:     Mar 05   /  -1.8 /  -6.6 /  -7.5 /  -6.7
:     Mar 06   /  -5.0 / -13.9 / -21.4 / -16.9
:     Mar 07   /  -5.1 /  -7.2 / -10.1 /  -5.4
:     Mar 08   /   4.0
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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