River Forecast
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RVFMTB

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
2129Z Fri May 27 2016
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS LWRMOT

:                ***    AFTERNOON FORECAST    ***

:__________________________________________________________________

:     **********************************************************
:     ***       THIS IS A PRELIMINARY UPDATE TO ADJUST       ***
:     ***       THE FIRST FEW PERIODS OF THE FORECAST.       ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
CROOKED RIVER
  RICHMOND MO 4N         20.0   20.3   CREST NEAR 20.3 FT 05/27 PM
BLACKWATER RIVER
  VALLEY CITY MO 1NW     22.0   27.3   CREST NEAR 27.8 FT 05/28 AM
PETITE SALINE CREEK
  BOONVILLE MO 4SSE      16.0   10.6   WITHIN BANK RISE
MOREAU RIVER
  JEFFERSON CITY MO 3S   17.0   16.9   CREST NEAR 17.3 FT 05/27 PM

:LAKE CITY MO - LITTLE BLUE RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 16.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 12.0 FT AT 2045Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527   /  14.4 /  18.2 /  17.0 /  14.2

.ER LKCM7 20160528 Z DC201605272129/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:/  11.1 /   9.5 /   9.0 /   8.4
.E2  :0529:/   8.1 /   7.9 /   7.7 /   7.5
.E3  :0530:/   7.4 /   7.1 /   7.0 /   6.8
.E4  :0531:/   6.7 /   6.5 /   6.4 /   6.3
.E5  :0601:/   6.2 /   6.1 /   6.0 /   6.0


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  1.24 /  0.53 /  0.18 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   1.95  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528  /  0.27 /  0.16 /  0.02 /  0.05
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   0.50  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:RICHMOND MO 4N - CROOKED RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 20.3 FT AT 2030Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527   /  12.2 /  17.5 /  19.3 /  20.2

.AR : CREST : RICM7 20160528 Z DC201605272129/DH00/HGIFFX 20.3
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/28/2016 AROUND 18Z
.ER RICM7 20160528 Z DC201605272129/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:/  20.3 /  20.3 /  20.1 /  20.0
.E2  :0529:/  19.0 /  16.8 /  14.3 /  12.2
.E3  :0530:/  11.2 /  10.4 /   9.8 /   9.3
.E4  :0531:/   9.0 /   8.7 /   8.4 /   8.2
.E5  :0601:/   8.0 /   7.8 /   7.6 /   7.4


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.77 /  0.10 /  0.02 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   0.89  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528  /  0.38 /  0.17 /  0.03 /  0.06
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   0.63  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:VALLEY CITY MO 1NW - BLACKWATER RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 27.3 FT AT 2100Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527   /   9.2 /  25.5 /  26.2 /  27.1

.AR : CREST : VLYM7 20160528 Z DC201605272129/DH12/HGIFFX 27.8
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/29/2016 AROUND 14Z
.ER VLYM7 20160528 Z DC201605272129/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:/  27.4 /  27.6 /  27.8 /  27.2
.E2  :0529:/  25.8 /  24.1 /  22.5 /  20.7
.E3  :0530:/  18.8 /  17.0 /  15.5 /  14.0
.E4  :0531:/  12.5 /  11.0 /   9.9 /   9.3
.E5  :0601:/   8.8 /   8.3 /   7.8 /   7.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.58 /  0.82 /  0.12 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   1.52  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528  /  0.29 /  0.19 /  0.03 /  0.04
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   0.55  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BOONVILLE MO 4SSE - PETITE SALINE CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 10.6 FT AT 2030Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527   /   4.2 /   4.4 /   4.9 /   9.4

.ER BONM7 20160528 Z DC201605272129/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:/  10.7 /  11.0 /  11.2 /  11.4
.E2  :0529:/  11.2 /  10.9 /  10.2 /   9.7
.E3  :0530:/   9.2 /   8.6 /   8.0 /   7.5
.E4  :0531:/   7.2 /   6.9 /   6.5 /   6.3
.E5  :0601:/   6.1 /   5.9 /   5.7 /   5.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.07 /  0.90 /  0.02 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   1.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528  /  0.35 /  0.30 /  0.13 /  0.04
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   0.82  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:JEFFERSON CITY MO 3S - MOREAU RIVER     HSA - LSX
:FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 16.9 FT AT 2030Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527   /   3.3 /  10.0 /  12.2 /  15.9

.AR : CREST : JCMM7 20160528 Z DC201605272129/DH00/HGIFFX 17.3
: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/28/2016 AROUND 02Z
.ER JCMM7 20160528 Z DC201605272129/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:/  17.3 /  16.5 /  14.9 /  13.7
.E2  :0529:/  12.5 /  11.2 /  10.2 /   9.2
.E3  :0530:/   7.2 /   6.3 /   5.6 /   5.2
.E4  :0531:/   4.7 /   4.3 /   3.9 /   3.5
.E5  :0601:/   3.1 /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527  /  0.07 /  1.47 /  0.03 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 27:   1.58  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528  /  0.33 /  0.32 /  0.07 /  0.04
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 28:   0.76  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:LSX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office St. Louis, Missouri
:SGF -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Springfield, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: jjl
:...END of MESSAGE...



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