River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 041649
RVFOHL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
11:48am EST Wednesday, March 4, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Markland Dam - Ohio River - ILN
: Zero Datum 408.0 ft (Ohio River Datum)
: Gallatin County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     76.1 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      74.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   62.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      51.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     49.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  16.7
:     Mar 03   /  17.3 /  18.0 /  18.3 /  18.9
:     Mar 04   /  20.3 /  23.6 /  26.5
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 29.6 ft at 1000am EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER MKLK2 20150304 Z DC201503041648/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :                         /  31.0
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  35.1 /  36.8 /  38.2 /  39.4
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  40.5 /  41.5 /  42.3 /  43.0
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  43.5 /  44.0 /  44.4 /  44.8
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  45.1 /  45.4 /  45.5 /  45.5
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  45.3 /  44.9 /  44.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  0.08
:     Mar 02   /  0.06 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.09
:     Mar 04   /  0.47 /  0.45 /  0.62
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04                           /  0.17
:     Mar 05   /  0.18 /  0.25 /  0.09 /  0.01
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  -0.6
:     Mar 02   /   0.9 /   0.0 /  -4.4 /  -3.3
:     Mar 03   /   0.7 /  -2.4 /  -2.7 /   0.2
:     Mar 04   /   7.0 /   6.6 /   2.9 /   1.0
:     Mar 05   /  -0.3 /  -5.3 /  -8.9 /  -9.3
:     Mar 06   /  -7.4 / -10.1 / -15.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Upper - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 407.46 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     52.2 ft
: Major Pool Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   30.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     21.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  12.3
:     Mar 03   /  12.2 /  12.7 /  12.8 /  12.8
:     Mar 04   /  12.6 /  13.0 /  13.0
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 13.3 ft at 1100am EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER MLUK2 20150304 Z DC201503041648/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :                         /  13.3
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  14.2 /  14.5 /  16.5 /  17.2
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  17.8 /  18.7 /  19.1 /  19.3
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  19.7 /  20.2 /  20.6 /  21.0
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  21.4 /  21.7 /  22.0 /  22.0
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  22.1 /  22.2 /  22.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  0.08
:     Mar 02   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.29 /  0.55 /  0.80
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04                           /  0.30
:     Mar 05   /  0.29 /  0.37 /  0.13 /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   0.6
:     Mar 02   /   2.8 /   1.2 /  -2.1 /  -1.9
:     Mar 03   /   2.3 /  -0.6 /  -1.2 /   2.1
:     Mar 04   /  11.1 /   8.7 /   4.6 /   1.4
:     Mar 05   /  -1.0 /  -5.0 /  -7.1 /  -8.5
:     Mar 06   /  -8.1 / -12.3 / -15.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: McAlpine Lower - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.18 ft (NGVD29)
: Jefferson County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     85.4 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      73.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   65.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      55.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     53.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  16.5
:     Mar 03   /  16.2 /  16.1 /  16.9 /  17.6
:     Mar 04   /  18.8 /  20.2 /  25.0
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 27.9 ft at 1100am EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER MLPK2 20150304 Z DC201503041648/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :                         /  29.6
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  34.0 /  37.5 /  41.2 /  44.2
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  46.6 /  48.1 /  48.6 /  49.0
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  49.6 /  50.3 /  50.9 /  51.4
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  51.8 /  52.2 /  52.6 /  52.6
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  52.8 /  53.0 /  52.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  0.08
:     Mar 02   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.29 /  0.55 /  0.80
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04                           /  0.30
:     Mar 05   /  0.29 /  0.37 /  0.13 /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   0.6
:     Mar 02   /   2.8 /   1.2 /  -2.1 /  -1.9
:     Mar 03   /   2.3 /  -0.6 /  -1.2 /   2.1
:     Mar 04   /  11.1 /   8.7 /   4.6 /   1.4
:     Mar 05   /  -1.0 /  -5.0 /  -7.1 /  -8.5
:     Mar 06   /  -8.1 / -12.3 / -15.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Fredericksburg - Blue River - LMK
: Zero Datum 590.0 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Washington County, IN
: Record River Stage     29.2 ft
: Major River Stage      27.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     18.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR FRDI3 20150304 Z DC201503041648/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:   20.2
: Crest near   20.2 ft around 1PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
: Fall below flood level around 7PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /   2.9
:     Mar 03   /   2.9 /   2.9 /   3.0 /   3.0
:     Mar 04   /   3.9 /  14.2 /  18.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 19.3 ft at 1130am EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER FRDI3 20150304 Z DC201503041648/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :                         /  20.2
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  20.0 /  15.8 /  12.5 /  10.4
.E3 : Mar 06 : /   9.3 /   8.5 /   7.9 /   7.4
.E4 : Mar 07 : /   7.0 /   6.6 /   6.2 /   5.9
.E5 : Mar 08 : /   5.7 /   5.5 /   5.3 /   5.1
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   5.0 /   5.1 /   5.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.60 /  0.53 /  0.63
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04                           /  0.23
:     Mar 05   /  0.25 /  0.30 /  0.09 /  0.01
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   0.8
:     Mar 02   /   1.9 /   0.3 /  -3.3 /  -2.8
:     Mar 03   /   1.4 /  -1.8 /  -1.3 /   1.8
:     Mar 04   /   8.7 /   6.2 /   2.9 /   0.5
:     Mar 05   /  -1.8 /  -5.9 /  -7.8 /  -8.9
:     Mar 06   /  -8.3 / -12.0 / -14.2
:____________________________________________________________________

: Cannelton Dam - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 348.0 ft (Ohio River)
: Perry County, IN
: Record Tailwater Stage     60.8 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   46.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      42.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     40.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  14.7
:     Mar 03   /  14.7 /  15.0 /  14.8 /  14.7
:     Mar 04   /  14.7 /  15.8 /  18.2
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage 20.4 ft at 1100am EST on Wed, Mar 4
:
.ER CNNI3 20150304 Z DC201503041648/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :                         /  23.1
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  26.6 /  29.3 /  31.7 /  34.1
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  35.9 /  37.0 /  37.6 /  38.1
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  38.6 /  39.2 /  39.8 /  40.4
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  40.8 /  41.1 /  41.3 /  41.5
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  41.6 /  41.7 /  41.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.21 /  0.61 /  0.79
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04                           /  0.37
:     Mar 05   /  0.36 /  0.40 /  0.13 /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   1.4
:     Mar 02   /   3.9 /   0.5 /  -2.6 /  -1.2
:     Mar 03   /   3.5 /   0.0 /   0.3 /   4.4
:     Mar 04   /  13.0 /  10.0 /   5.9 /   2.0
:     Mar 05   /  -1.2 /  -5.1 /  -7.1 /  -8.3
:     Mar 06   /  -7.7 / -12.0 / -15.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Tell City - Ohio River - LMK
: Zero Datum 347.62 ft (NGVD 29)
: Perry County, IN
: Record River Stage     57.0 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   44.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      38.0 ft
: Action River Stage     36.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 10PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02                           /  14.9E
:     Mar 03   /  14.8E/  14.8E/  14.9E/  15.1E
:     Mar 04   /  15.5E/  16.1E/  18.3E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER TELI3 20150304 Z DC201503041648/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :                         /  21.3
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  24.6 /  27.3 /  29.9 /  32.4
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  34.2 /  35.3 /  36.2 /  36.9
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  37.6 /  38.3 /  39.0 /  39.7
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  40.2 /  40.5 /  40.8 /  41.0
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  41.1 /  41.2 /  41.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 04   /  0.21 /  0.61 /  0.79
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04                           /  0.37
:     Mar 05   /  0.36 /  0.40 /  0.13 /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01                           /   1.4
:     Mar 02   /   3.9 /   0.5 /  -2.6 /  -1.2
:     Mar 03   /   3.5 /   0.0 /   0.3 /   4.4
:     Mar 04   /  13.0 /  10.0 /   5.9 /   2.0
:     Mar 05   /  -1.2 /  -5.1 /  -7.1 /  -8.3
:     Mar 06   /  -7.7 / -12.0 / -15.8
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Trent Schade
:...END of MESSAGE...




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