Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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TXUS20 KNES 290707
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 08/29/14 0707Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 0615Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...BRO...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE BURST IN DEEP MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AS HAS BEEN THE CASE WITH THIS SYSTEM
PAST FEW DAYS..CNVTN IS PULSING AGAIN CLOSE TO ILL DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. THERE MAY NOT EVEN BE A CLOSED CIRC BUT IF SO IT
IS CLOSE TO KBRO BASED ON STLT ANIMATION AND SFC RPTS. ERLY FLOW IS
ENHANCED FURTHER N (NRN KENEDY AND KLEBERG) AND THIS IS WHERE CNVTN IS
MOST ACTIVE/PERSISTENT..LIKELY DUE TO BEST LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE. WV
ANIMATION SHOWS CNVTN OCRG ON WRN EDGE OF MID LEVEL MOIST ENVELOPE
AND NR MID LEVEL VORT. HEAVY RAIN THREAT IS FROM NRLY STNRY LN/REPEAT
CNVTN DEVELOPING THIS AREA. HEAVY RAIN CHANCES OVER SRN TIER COUNTIES
(SRN KENEDY..WILLACY..CAMERON) WOULD COME FROM WEAKER FLOW/SLOWER MVG
CELLS. AMS IS VERY MOIST THRU DEEP LAYER OF ATMOS AS PER KBRO SOUNDING AND
MOST RECENT GPS SITES WHICH ARE SHOWING CONTD INCR IN MOISTURE AT SITES
A BIT FURTHER INLAND (IE STARR/MCMULLEN) WHERE VALUES ARE AOA 2.25".
MOST RECENT QMORPH RAINFALL ESTIMATES (UTILIZING MICROWAVE RAIN RATES
AND GOES IR IMAGERY) SHOWING MAX 24 HR AMNTS OF 10" WITH THIS FEATURE
GIVING AN AN IDEA OF THE POTENTIAL WITH THIS SYSTEM.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0700-1200Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...EXPECT THIS CURRENT BURSTING PHASE TO CONT THRU
MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE AMS FLOW REGIME NOTED ABV 2-3"/HR AMNTS
PSBL OVER KENEDY..WILLACY..CAMERON AND PSBVLY ERN HIDALGO WITH LOCALIZED
6 HR TOTALS OF 5" PSBL.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 2706 9680 2565 9676 2564 9815 2702 9821
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